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Three years is a very long time in politics – politicalbetting.com


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Based mostly on feedback by some on PB, the media, and certainly some fatalism throughout the Labour Celebration the result of the subsequent election is already inevitable.

I’m reminded that on the finish of Could 2021 Labour had been an implied 8.3% likelihood of successful a majority on the subsequent common election, spoiler alert: Sir Keir Starmer gained the subsequent common election with a 174 seat majority, a number of that was all the way down to the Tories however it’s a reminder that events do screw up spectacularly and Reform might be part of that ignominious record.

On the intense facet, think about laying a Labour majority over the last parliament, you’d be feeling sicker than a bicycle owner with piles.

TSE