The following London mayoral election is scheduled to happen in 2028 and beneath first previous the put up something may occur, it’s totally attainable the successful candidate polls sub 20% because the centre-left vote fractures. I can not see any worth right here aside from say a cheeky tenner on Jeremy Corbyn at 20/1 or Ant Middleton at 12/1.
TSE
PS – It is likely to be in Labour’s curiosity to lose the London mayoral election to the Tories or Reform on a low vote share one 12 months earlier than the 2029 basic election. If say Reform or the Tories win on round 20% of the vote while the centre-left ballot a mixed 60% then discussions will flip to altering the voting system to one thing like the choice vote system. My expectation is that there won’t be sufficient time for laws to be handed earlier than the subsequent election to vary the voting system so talks will flip to an (in)formal voting alliance amongst the centre-left to maintain out the proper/Farage.
