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RFK Jr. needs to overtake a significant system that helps childhood immunization


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By Patricia Callahan for ProPublica


5 months after taking on the federal company chargeable for the well being of all People, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. needs to overtake an obscure however important program that underpins the nation’s childhood immunization system.

Relying on what he does, the outcomes might be catastrophic.

In his crosshairs is the Vaccine Damage Compensation Program, a system designed to offer truthful and fast payouts for individuals who endure uncommon however critical negative effects from photographs — with out having to show that drugmakers had been negligent. Congress created this system within the Nineteen Eighties when lawsuits drove vaccine makers from the market. A particular tax on immunizations funds the awards, and producers profit from authorized protections that make it more durable to win big-money verdicts in opposition to them in civil courts.

Kennedy, who based an anti-vaccination group and beforehand accused the pharmaceutical business of inflicting “pointless and dangerous vaccines” on youngsters for earnings, has lengthy argued that this system removes any incentive for the business to make protected merchandise.


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In a latest interview with Tucker Carlson, Kennedy condemned what he referred to as corruption in this system and mentioned he had assigned a staff to overtake it and broaden who might search compensation. He didn’t element his plans however did repeat the long-debunked declare that vaccines trigger autism and urged, with out citing any proof, that photographs is also chargeable for a litany of continual illnesses, from diabetes to narcolepsy.

There are a variety of the way he might blow up this system and immediate vaccine makers to cease promoting photographs within the U.S., like they did within the Nineteen Eighties. The belief fund that pays awards, as an illustration, might run out of cash if the federal government made it straightforward for Kennedy’s laundry listing of widespread well being issues to qualify for funds from the fund.

Or he might decide away on the program one shot at a time. Proper now, immunizations routinely advisable for kids or pregnant girls are lined by this system. Kennedy has the facility to drop vaccines from the listing, a transfer that might open up their producers to the sorts of lawsuits that made them flee years in the past.

Dr. Eddy Bresnitz, who served as New Jersey’s state epidemiologist after which spent a dozen years as a vaccine government at Merck, is amongst these nervous.

“If his unspoken aim is to mainly destroy the vaccine business, that might do it,” mentioned Bresnitz, who retired from Merck and has consulted for vaccine producers. “I nonetheless imagine, having labored within the business, that they care about defending American well being, however they’re additionally for-profit corporations with shareholders, and something that detracts from the underside line that may be averted, they may keep away from.”

A spokesperson for PhRMA, a U.S. commerce group for pharmaceutical corporations, informed ProPublica in a written assertion that upending the Vaccine Damage Compensation Program “would threaten continued affected person entry to FDA permitted vaccines.”

The spokesperson, Andrew Powaleny, mentioned this system “has compensated hundreds of claims whereas serving to make sure the continued availability of a protected and efficient vaccine provide. It stays a significant safeguard for public well being and importantly doesn’t protect producers from legal responsibility.”

Since its inception, the compensation fund has paid about $4.8 billion in awards for hurt from critical negative effects, resembling life-threatening allergic reactions and Guillain-Barré syndrome, an autoimmune situation that may trigger paralysis. The federal company that oversees this system discovered that for each 1 million doses of vaccine distributed between 2006 and 2023, about one individual was compensated for an damage.

Secretary of Health and Human Services Robert F. Kennedy Jr. appears at budget hearing before a House Appropriations, Subcommittee at the U.S. Capitol on Wednesday, May 14, 2025, in Washington. (AP Photo/John McDonnell)
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. seems at a Home subcommittee listening to on Might 14.

Since turning into Well being and Human Companies secretary, Kennedy has turned the staid world of immunizations on its ear. He reneged on the U.S. authorities’s pledge to fund vaccinations for the world’s poorest youngsters. He fired each member of the federal advisory group that recommends which photographs People get, and his new slate vowed to scrutinize the U.S. childhood immunization schedule. Measles, a vaccine-preventable illness eradicated right here in 2000, roared again and hit a grim report — extra instances than the U.S. has seen in 33 years, together with three deaths. When a U.S. senator requested Kennedy if he advisable measles photographs, Kennedy answered, “Senator, if I suggested you to swim in a lake that I knew there to be alligators in, wouldn’t you need me to let you know there have been alligators in it?”

Fed up, the American Academy of Pediatrics and different medical societies sued Kennedy final week, accusing him of dismantling “the longstanding, Congressionally-authorized, science- and evidence-based vaccine infrastructure that has prevented the deaths of untold hundreds of thousands of People.” (The federal authorities has but to answer the go well with.)

Nearly all medicine have negative effects. What’s uncommon about vaccines is that they’re given to wholesome individuals — even newborns on their first day of life. And plenty of photographs defend not simply the people receiving them but in addition the broader group by making it more durable for lethal scourges to unfold. The Facilities for Illness Management and Prevention estimates that routine childhood immunizations have prevented greater than 1.1 million deaths and 32 million hospitalizations among the many technology of People born between 1994 and 2023.

To most individuals, the nation’s vaccine system looks like a stable, dependable truth of life, doling out photographs to youngsters like clockwork. However in actuality it’s surprisingly fragile.

There are solely a handful of corporations that make almost the entire photographs youngsters obtain. Just one producer makes chickenpox vaccines. And simply two or three make the photographs that defend in opposition to greater than a dozen illnesses, together with polio and measles. If any had been to drop out, the nation might discover itself in the identical disaster that led President Ronald Reagan to signal the regulation creating the Vaccine Damage Compensation Program in 1986.

Again then, pharmaceutical corporations confronted a whole lot of lawsuits alleging that the vaccine defending youngsters from whooping cough, diphtheria and tetanus brought about unrelenting seizures that led to extreme disabilities. (Immediately’s model of this shot is completely different.) One vaccine maker after one other left the U.S. market.

At one level, pediatricians might solely purchase whooping cough vaccines from a single firm. Shortages had been so dangerous that the CDC advisable docs cease giving booster photographs to protect provides for probably the most weak infants.

Whereas Congress debated what to do, public well being clinics’ price per dose jumped 5,000% in 5 years.

“We had been actually involved that we’d lose all vaccines, and we might get main resurgences of vaccine-preventable illnesses,” recalled Dr. Walter Orenstein, a vaccine professional who labored within the CDC’s immunization division on the time.

A Forbes headline captured the anxiousness of fogeys, pediatricians and public well being staff: “Scared Shotless.” So a bipartisan group in Congress hammered out the no-fault system.

Immediately, this system covers vaccines routinely advisable for kids or pregnant girls as soon as Congress approves the particular tax that funds awards. (COVID-19 photographs are a part of a separate, often-maligned system for dealing with claims of hurt, although Kennedy has mentioned he’s methods so as to add them to the Vaccine Damage Compensation Program.)

Below program guidelines, individuals who say they’re harmed by lined vaccines can’t head straight to civil court docket to sue producers. First, they need to undergo the no-fault system. The regulation established a desk of accidents and the timeframe for when these circumstances will need to have appeared in an effort to be thought-about for faster payouts. A tax on these vaccines — now 75 cents for each illness {that a} shot protects in opposition to — flows right into a belief fund that pays these permitted for awards. Win or lose, this system, for probably the most half, pays legal professional charges and forbids legal professionals from taking a lower of the cash paid to the injured.

The regulation arrange a devoted vaccine court docket the place authorities officers generally known as particular masters, who function like judges, rule on instances with out juries. Folks can ask for compensation for well being issues not listed on the damage desk, and so they don’t need to show that the vaccine maker was negligent or didn’t warn them in regards to the medical situation they wound up with. On the identical time, they will’t declare punitive damages, which drive up payouts in civil courts, and ache and struggling funds are capped at $250,000.

Plaintiffs who aren’t happy with the end result or whose instances drag on too lengthy can exit this system and file their instances in conventional civil courts. There they will pursue punitive damages, contingency-fee agreements with legal professionals and the same old proof gathering that plaintiffs use to carry corporations accountable for wrongdoing.

However a Supreme Court docket ruling, decoding the regulation that created the Vaccine Damage Compensation Program, restricted the sorts of claims that may prevail in civil court docket. So whereas this system isn’t a full legal responsibility protect for vaccine makers, its very existence considerably narrows the instances trial legal professionals can file.


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Kennedy has been concerned in such civil litigation. In his federal disclosures, he revealed that he referred plaintiffs to a regulation agency submitting instances in opposition to Merck over its HPV shot in change for a ten% lower of the charges in the event that they win. After a heated change with Sen. Elizabeth Warren throughout his affirmation proceedings, Kennedy mentioned his share of any cash from these instances would as a substitute go to certainly one of his grownup sons, who he later mentioned is a lawyer in California. His son Conor works as an legal professional on the Los Angeles regulation agency benefiting from his referrals. When ProPublica requested about this association, Conor Kennedy wrote, “I don’t work on these instances and I’m not receiving any cash from them.”

In March, a North Carolina federal choose overseeing a whole lot of instances that alleged Merck didn’t warn sufferers about critical negative effects from its HPV vaccine dominated in favor of Merck; an attraction is pending.

The Vaccine Damage Compensation Program succeeded in stabilizing the enterprise of childhood vaccines, with many extra photographs developetud and permitted within the many years because it was established. However even ardent supporters acknowledge there are issues. This system’s workers ranges haven’t stored up with the caseload. The regulation capped the variety of particular masters at eight, and congressional payments to extend which have failed. An inflow of grownup claims swamped the system after opposed reactions to flu photographs grew to become eligible for compensation in 2005 and critical shoulder issues had been added to the damage desk in 2017.

The fast and easy system of payouts initially envisioned has advanced right into a extra adversarial one with legal professionals for the Division of Justice duking it out with plaintiffs’ attorneys, which Kennedy says runs counter to this system’s intent. Many instances drag on for years.

In his latest interview with Carlson, he described “the legal professionals of the Division of Justice, the leaders of it” engaged on the instances as corrupt. “They noticed their job as defending the belief fund slightly than taking good care of individuals who made this nationwide sacrifice, and we’re going to alter all that,” he mentioned. “And I’ve introduced in a staff this week that’s beginning to work on that.”

The system is “alleged to be beneficiant and quick and offers a tie to the runner,” he informed Carlson. “In different phrases, if there’s doubts about, you realize, whether or not anyone’s damage got here from a vaccine or not, you’re going to imagine they obtained it and compensate them.”

Kennedy didn’t establish who’s on the staff reviewing this system. At one level within the interview, he mentioned, “We simply introduced a man on this week who’s going to be revolutionizing the Vaccine Damage Compensation Program.”

The HHS worker listing now lists Andrew Downing as a counselor working in Kennedy’s workplace. Downing for a few years has filed claims with this system and fits in civil courts on behalf of purchasers alleging hurt from photographs. Final month, HHS awarded a contract for “Vaccine Damage Compensation Program experience” to Downing’s agency, as NOTUS has reported.

Downing didn’t reply to a voicemail left at his regulation workplace. HHS didn’t reply to a request to make him and Kennedy obtainable for an interview and declined to reply detailed questions on its plans for the Vaccine Damage Compensation Program. Up to now, an HHS spokesperson has mentioned that Kennedy is “not anti-vaccine — he’s pro-safety.”

Whereas it’s not clear what adjustments Downing and Kennedy take into account, Kennedy’s interview with Carlson supplied some insights. Kennedy mentioned he was working to broaden this system’s three-year statute of limitations in order that extra individuals may be compensated. Downing has complained that sufferers who’ve sure autoimmune problems don’t notice their illnesses had been attributable to a vaccine till it’s too late to file. Congress must change the regulation to permit this, specialists mentioned.


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A key concern is whether or not Kennedy will attempt to add new illnesses to the listing of accidents that qualify for faster awards.

Within the Carlson interview, Kennedy dismissed the various research and scientific consensus that photographs don’t trigger autism as nothing greater than statistical trickery. “We’re going to do actual science,” Kennedy mentioned.

The vaccine court docket spent years within the 2000s attempting instances that alleged autism was attributable to the vaccine ingredient thimerosal and the shot that protects individuals from measles, mumps and rubella. Going through greater than 5,000 claims, the court docket requested a committee of attorneys representing youngsters with autism to select take a look at instances that represented themes widespread within the broader group. Within the instances that went to trial, the particular masters thought-about greater than 900 medical articles and heard testimony from dozens of specialists. In every of these instances, the particular masters discovered that the photographs didn’t trigger autism.

In not less than two subsequent instances, youngsters with autism had been granted compensation as a result of they met the factors listed in this system’s damage desk, in keeping with a vaccine court docket choice. That desk, as an illustration, lists sure types of encephalopathy — a sort of mind dysfunction — as a uncommon facet impact of photographs that defend individuals from whooping cough, measles, mumps and rubella. In a 2016 vaccine court docket ruling, Particular Grasp George L. Hastings Jr. defined, “The compensation of those two instances, thus doesn’t afford any assist to the notion that vaccinations can contribute to the causation of autism.”

Hastings famous that when Congress arrange the damage desk, the lawmakers acknowledged that folks would get compensated for “some accidents that weren’t, in truth, actually vaccine-caused.”

Many disabling neurological problems in youngsters change into obvious across the time youngsters get their photographs. Determining whether or not the timing was coincidental or a sign that the vaccines brought about the issue has been an enormous problem.

Devastating seizures in younger youngsters had been the impetus for the compensation program. However within the mid-Nineties, after a yearslong evaluate of the proof, HHS eliminated seizure dysfunction from the damage desk and narrowed the kind of encephalopathy that might mechanically qualify for compensation. Scientists subsequently have found genetic mutations that trigger among the most extreme types of epilepsy.

What’s completely different now, although, is that Kennedy, as HHS secretary, has the facility so as to add autism or different problems to that damage desk. Specialists say he’d need to undergo the federal authorities’s cumbersome rulemaking course of to take action. He might additionally lean on federal staff to green-light extra claims.As well as, Kennedy has made it clear he’s eager about diseases past autism. “We have now now this epidemic of immune dysregulation in our nation, and there’s no technique to rule out vaccines as one of many key culprits,” he informed Carlson. Kennedy talked about diabetes, rheumatoid arthritis, seizure problems, ADHD, speech delay, language delay, tics, Tourette syndrome, narcolepsy, peanut allergy symptoms and eczema.


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President Donald Trump’s funds estimated that the worth of the investments within the Vaccine Damage Compensation Program belief fund might attain $4.8 billion this 12 months. Whereas that’s some huge cash, a life-care plan for a kid with extreme autism can price tens of hundreds of thousands of {dollars}, and the CDC reported in April that 1 in 31 youngsters is recognized with autism by their eighth birthday. The opposite diseases Kennedy talked about additionally have an effect on a large swath of the U.S. inhabitants.

Dr. Paul Offit, a co-inventor of a rotavirus vaccine and director of the Vaccine Training Middle at Youngsters’s Hospital of Philadelphia, for years has sparred with Kennedy over vaccines. Offit fears that Kennedy will use flawed research to justify including autism and different widespread medical issues to the damage desk, regardless of how a lot they battle with strong scientific analysis.

“You are able to do that, and you’ll bankrupt this system,” he mentioned. “These are methods to finish vaccine manufacturing on this nation.”

Cartoon by Tim Campbell

If the belief fund had been to expire of cash, Congress must act, mentioned Dorit Reiss, a regulation professor at College of California Legislation San Francisco who has studied the Vaccine Damage Compensation Program. Congress might improve the excise tax on vaccines, she mentioned, or go a regulation limiting what’s on the damage desk. Or Congress might abolish this system, and the vaccine makers would discover themselves again within the state of affairs they confronted within the Nineteen Eighties.

“That’s not unrealistic,” Reiss mentioned.

Rep. Paul Gosar, an Arizona Republican, final 12 months proposed the Finish the Vaccine Carveout Act, which might have allowed individuals to bypass the no-fault system and head straight to civil court docket. His press launch for the invoice — written in September, earlier than Kennedy’s ascension to HHS secretary — quoted Kennedy saying, “If we wish protected and efficient vaccines, we have to finish the legal responsibility protect.”

The laws by no means got here up for a vote. A spokesperson for the congressman mentioned he expects to introduce it once more “within the very close to future.”

Renée Gentry, director of the George Washington College Legislation College’s Vaccine Damage Litigation Clinic, thinks it’s unlikely Congress will blow up the no-fault program. However Gentry, who represents individuals submitting claims for accidents, mentioned it’s exhausting to foretell what Congress, confronted with a doomsday state of affairs, would do.

“Usually, Democrats are buddies of plaintiffs’ legal professionals,” she mentioned. “However speaking about vaccines on the Hill is like strolling on a razor blade that’s on hearth.”