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What Georgia’s Medicaid Work Requirement Tells Us Concerning the Prices of the “Massive Lovely Invoice” — ProPublica


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Congressional Republicans, on the lookout for methods to offset their proposed tax cuts, are looking for to mandate that tens of millions of People work with a purpose to obtain federally sponsored medical health insurance. The GOP tax and funds invoice handed the Home in Might, and Senate Republicans are working feverishly to advance their draft of federal spending cuts within the coming days.

Georgia, the solely state with a Medicaid work mandate, began experimenting with the requirement on July 1, 2023. Because the Medicaid program’s two-year anniversary approaches, Georgia has enrolled only a fraction of these eligible, a consequence well being coverage researchers largely attribute to bureaucratic hurdles within the state’s work verification system. As of Might 2025, roughly 7,500 of the almost 250,000 eligible Georgians have been enrolled, despite the fact that state statistics present 64% of that group is working.

Gov. Brian Kemp has lengthy advocated for Medicaid reform, arguing that the nation ought to transfer away from government-run well being care. His spokesperson additionally informed The Present and ProPublica that this system, often called Georgia Pathways to Protection, was by no means designed to maximise enrollment.

Well being care analysts and former state Medicaid officers say Georgia’s expertise exhibits that the congressional invoice, if it turns into regulation, would price taxpayers lots of of tens of millions of {dollars} in administrative prices as it’s carried out whereas threatening well being look after almost 16 million folks.

Right here’s how proposed federal work necessities evaluate to Georgia’s — and the way they might affect your state:

How will states decide who’s eligible?

What Congress proposes:

The Home invoice, H.R. 1, and draft Senate proposal require all states to confirm that People ages 19 via 64 who’re receiving Medicaid-funded well being protection are spending 80 hours a month working, coaching for a job, learning or volunteering. These new verification programs would have to be in place by Dec. 31, 2026, and must verify on enrolled residents’ work standing twice a 12 months. Meaning individuals who already obtain protection based mostly on their revenue degree would want to routinely show their eligibility — or lose their insurance coverage.

The federal work necessities would apply to greater than 10 million low-income adults with Medicaid protection in addition to roughly 5 million residents of the 40 states which have accepted federal subsidies for folks to buy non-public well being protection via what’s generally often called Obamacare.

The Home invoice exempts mother and father with kids beneath 18 from the brand new necessities, whereas the Senate model exempts mother and father with kids beneath 15. Neither invoice exempts individuals who take care of aged kin.

Georgia’s expertise:

Georgia’s mandate applies to fewer classes of individuals than the proposed federal laws would. Even so, officers failed to satisfy the state’s robust month-to-month verification requirement for Pathways enrollees as a consequence of technical glitches and issue confirming the employment of those that work within the casual financial system resembling home cleaners and landscapers as a result of they might not have pay stubs or tax data. The challenges have been steep sufficient that Georgia has determined to loosen its work verification protocols from month-to-month to every year.

What this implies to your state:

The Congressional Finances Workplace estimates that H.R. 1 would end in not less than 10 million low-income People dropping medical health insurance. Well being care advocates say that’s not as a result of they aren’t working, however due to the bureaucratic hoops they would want to leap via to show employment. Analysis from KFF, a well being coverage suppose tank, exhibits that the overwhelming majority of people that can be topic to the brand new regulation already work, are enrolled at school or are unpaid stay-at-home caregivers, duties that prohibit their means to earn a wage elsewhere.

Arkansas is the one state aside from Georgia to have carried out work necessities. Republican state lawmakers later modified their minds after information confirmed that pink tape related to verifying eligibility resulted in additional than 18,000 folks dropping protection throughout the first few months of the coverage. A federal decide halted this system in 2019, ruling that it elevated the state’s uninsured fee with none proof of elevated employment.

Home Speaker Mike Johnson


Credit score:
Tom Williams/CQ Roll Name by way of AP

Home Speaker Mike Johnson, a Louisiana Republican, says Medicaid work necessities in H.R. 1 are “widespread sense.” He says the coverage gained’t end in well being protection losses for the People whom Medicaid was initially designed to assist as a result of the work necessities gained’t apply to those teams: kids, pregnant ladies and aged folks dwelling in poverty. He factors to the $344 billion in a decade’s price of projected price financial savings ensuing from Medicaid work necessities as useful to the nation’s fiscal well being. “You discover dignity in work, and the folks that aren’t doing that, we’re going to attempt to get their consideration,” he stated earlier this 12 months.

Who can pay for the work verification system in every state?

What Congress proposes:

The Home invoice allocates $100 million to assist states pay for verification programs that decide somebody’s eligibility. The grants can be distributed in proportion to every state’s share of Medicaid enrollees topic to the brand new necessities — an quantity well being coverage specialists say won’t be almost sufficient. States, they are saying, can be on the hook for the distinction.

Georgia’s expertise:

Within the two years since launching its experiment with work necessities, Georgia has spent almost $100 million in principally federal funds to implement Pathways. Of that, $55 million went towards constructing a digital system to confirm members’ eligibility — greater than half the quantity Home Republicans allotted for your complete nation to do the identical factor.

Like different states, Georgia already had a piece verification system in place for meals stamp packages, nevertheless it contracted with Deloitte Consulting to deal with its new Medicaid necessities. Georgia officers stated the state has spent 30% greater than they’d anticipated to create its digital platform for Pathways as a consequence of rising guide and IT prices. Deloitte beforehand declined to reply questions on its Pathways work.

What this implies to your state:

All states already confirm work necessities for meals stamp recipients, however many present programs would want upgrades to adapt to proposed federal laws, based on three former state Medicaid officers. In 2019, when states final thought-about work necessities, a survey by the nonpartisan Authorities Accountability Workplace confirmed that Kentucky anticipated administrative prices to high $200 million — double what H.R. 1 has allotted for the nation.

Rep. Buddy Carter


Credit score:
Justin Taylor/The Present GA/CatchLight Native

Rep. Buddy Carter, the Republican who represents coastal Georgia and chairs the well being subcommittee of the Home Power and Commerce Committee, which had advisable Medicaid cuts in H.R. 1, stated that upfront prices borne by states can be offset by longer-term financial savings promised within the Home invoice. Some congressional Republicans concede that the associated fee financial savings will come from fewer folks enrolling in Medicaid as a result of new necessities. Financial savings from work mandates quantity to 43% of the $793 billion in proposed Medicaid cuts, based on the Congressional Finances Workplace.

How will states workers this system?

What Congress proposes:

Medicaid is a federal social security internet program that’s administered otherwise in every state. Neither H.R. 1 nor the Senate legislative proposal offers a blueprint for a way states ought to confirm eligibility or how the prices of overseeing the brand new necessities can be paid.

Georgia’s expertise:

Georgia’s expertise exhibits that state caseworkers are key to managing purposes and work requirement verifications for residents eligible for Medicaid. The company that handles enrollment in federal advantages had a workers emptiness fee of roughly 20% when Georgia launched its work requirement coverage in 2023. Georgia on the time had one of many longest wait occasions for approving federal advantages. As of March, the company had a backlog of greater than 5,000 Pathways purposes. The company has stated it’ll want 300 extra caseworkers and IT upgrades to raised handle the backlog, based on a report submitted to state lawmakers in June.

What this implies to your state:

Former state Medicaid officers and well being coverage specialists say Georgia’s staffing struggles should not distinctive. In 2023, close to the top of the COVID-19 public well being emergency, KFF surveyed states about staffing ranges for caseworkers who confirm eligibility for federal advantages, together with Medicaid. Employee emptiness charges exceeded 10% in 16 of the 26 states that responded; charges exceeded 20% in seven of these states.

Including caseworkers will imply greater prices for states. Presently, 41 states require a balanced funds, which means that these state legislators would both want to extend taxes and revenues to confirm Medicaid enrollees are working or decrease enrollment to cut back prices, stated Joan Alker, govt director of Georgetown College’s Middle for Youngsters and Households.

In about half a dozen massive states the place county governments administer federal security internet packages, the prices of coaching caseworkers on the brand new verification protocols may trickle from states to counties.

“There are provisions in there which can be very, very, very difficult, if not unimaginable, for us to implement,” Sen. Lisa Murkowski, an Alaska Republican, informed reporters in June of the prices dealing with her state to satisfy the Home invoice necessities.