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Open Supply Report for Monday, Might 19, 2025 – The Cipher Transient


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Monday, Might 19, 2025. 8:47 AM EST

The Cipher Transient curates open supply info from world wide that impacts nationwide safety. Right here’s a take a look at at the moment’s headlines, damaged down by area of the world.

THE TOP HEADLINES

Report for Monday, Might 19, 2025

Trump to talk on Monday with Putin and Zelensky about stopping Russia’s struggle in Ukraine

Russia Unleashes One in all Its Largest Drone Barrages of the Ukraine Battle

Britain and E.U. Strike Landmark Brexit Reset Deal

Israel expands floor operations to regulate Gaza as assist vans put together to enter

China launches satellites to start out constructing the world’s first supercomputer in orbit

CIPHER BRIEF EXCLUSIVES

Trump’s Gulf Tour: The Cash Offers, the Diplomacy and What Comes Subsequent.Cipher Transient specialists supplied blended assessments of President Donald Trump’s four-day Gulf tour, crammed with bold offers and diplomatic shifts. John McLaughlin, former Performing Director of the Central Intelligence Company, known as the lifting of Syria sanctions a daring however dangerous transfer, citing the potential advantages of regional stabilization however warning in regards to the uncertainty of Syria’s new chief and Iranian affect. Ambassador Dennis Ross, former U.S. Center East coordinator, emphasised the journey’s transactional nature, describing it as centered on financial partnerships reasonably than regional safety, and famous a rising distance between Trump and Israel. Hassan Abbas, professor at Nationwide Protection College, noticed the journey as a strategic try to reframe U.S.-Gulf relations and elevate Syria’s restoration as a regional pivot. Former U.S. Ambassador to Oman Gary Grappo critiqued inflated deal figures and recognized Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Qatar as political winners, with Israel because the diplomatic loser. Paula Doyle, former CIA Affiliate Director for Operations, supported the conditional 120-day Syria sanctions coverage, viewing it as a measured technique to foster accountability and regional reconstruction. The Cipher Transient

Opinion: What Comes After Istanbul Will Outline Ukraine. Rob Dannenberg, former Central Intelligence Company chief for the Counterterrorism Middle, Central Eurasia Division, and Info Operations Middle, argues that Friday’s Istanbul talks between Ukraine and Russia had been a “peace theater” staged by Russian President Vladimir Putin to look conciliatory with out making any actual concessions. Dannenberg views Putin’s absence as an indication of weak point, not power, and warns that any compromise would solely enable Russia to regroup and launch future aggression. He emphasizes that Ukraine, having resisted and outperformed Russia militarily and technologically, is negotiating from a place of power. Dannenberg praises Ukraine’s resolve, innovation, and unity, calling its army presumably probably the most succesful in Europe, and sees the struggle as existential for Ukrainians. He insists the U.S. should reinforce this Ukrainian willpower by growing sanctions on Russia and offering extra army assist. For Dannenberg, any peace settlement perceived as a victory by Putin would solely assure additional violence and subjugation. The Cipher Transient 

Opinion: Vladimir Putin Has Causes to be Nervous. David Kirichenko, an Affiliate Analysis Fellow on the Henry Jackson Society, argues that the Kremlin is more and more weak to Ukraine’s deep-penetration intelligence operations regardless of Russian President Vladimir Putin’s public bravado. Kirichenko highlights how Ukraine’s safety providers have efficiently assassinated high-ranking Russian generals and struggle criminals, even deep inside Russian territory. He contends that these strikes—typically dismissed by Western officers as dangerous escalations—have in truth shattered the phantasm of untouchability surrounding Russia’s management. Ukrainian officers, he notes, brazenly liken their techniques to Israel’s Mossad and look at their marketing campaign as a obligatory psychological and strategic effort to destabilize Russia’s political and army infrastructure. Kirichenko criticizes the U.S. for previous hesitations rooted in worry of scary Russia, arguing that Ukraine has demonstrated these crimson traces are extra delusion than actuality. The Cipher Transient 

Opinion: Don’t Underestimate the New Highway to Damascus. Paula Doyle, former Affiliate Deputy Director for Operations on the Central Intelligence Company, cautiously helps the Trump administration’s new 120-day conditional sanctions-lifting coverage towards Syria. Whereas acknowledging issues over Syria’s new chief Ahmed al-Sharaa—a former al-Qaeda affiliate—Doyle argues that the technique gives a structured mechanism for U.S. oversight. She notes the coverage aligns carefully with Turkish priorities, together with the safety of minorities, containment of ISIS components, dismantling of PKK [the Kurdistan Workers’ Party] infrastructure, and elimination of hidden chemical weapons stockpiles. Doyle highlights the potential for speedy postwar reconstruction, particularly by Turkish corporations, and sees the coverage as a way to allow Syrian refugees to return. Extra broadly, she believes the withdrawal of Russian and Iranian forces from Syria in late 2024 opens the door for U.S. strategic messaging throughout the Center East and Black Sea area. For Doyle, the initiative might symbolically mark the failure of the Russian Iranian axis and a resurgence of U.S. management. The Cipher Transient

Opinion: Afghanistan’s Story of Two Extremist Actions. Matin Bek, a former senior Afghan official and present fellow at New America’s Future Safety Program, attracts a pointy distinction between Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) and the Taliban, regardless of their shared jihadist roots. Bek argues that HTS, below Ahmed al-Sharaa, is exhibiting pragmatic indicators of reform—participating with Kurdish forces, together with ladies in governance, and starting constitutional efforts—whereas the Taliban is regressing right into a inflexible, extremist regime. He warns that the Taliban has betrayed its guarantees from the 2019–2020 Doha peace talks, stripping Afghan ladies of all rights and laying the muse for a future technology of jihadis via widespread madrasa indoctrination. Bek sees HTS’s actions as an try to legitimize governance and cut back regional rigidity, incomes cautious assist from Gulf states, whereas the Taliban stays remoted and harmful. He urges policymakers to withstand requires Taliban normalization except they dismantle their oppressive and terrorist infrastructure. In his view, the Taliban poses a rising regional and world risk. The Cipher Transient 

THE AMERICAS

CIA to call veteran Center East case officer as head of covert operations. The Central Intelligence Company is ready to nominate a veteran clandestine officer at the moment serving as a station chief within the Center East as its new Deputy Director of Operations (DDO), one of many company’s strongest roles. The Monetary Instances is withholding the nominee’s identify attributable to his undercover standing, however sources describe him as extremely revered amongst area officers. The DDO oversees world covert operations and spy recruitment, together with in adversarial nations like China and Russia. The position is gaining affect as CIA Director John Ratcliffe shifts focus extra closely on human intelligence gathering. The appointment follows the withdrawal of Ralph Goff, a retired officer initially tapped for the job; some sources cited objections to Goff’s pro-Ukraine stance, although others say his elimination was unrelated. The change comes amid broader management shakeups below President Donald Trump. Nevertheless, insiders insist this transfer is about guaranteeing trusted management for delicate world operations reasonably than a part of current political purges. Monetary Instances

Mike Waltz Fell into an Age-Outdated Entice in Political Historical past.  Former Congressman Mike Waltz’s abrupt firing as President Trump’s nationwide safety adviser highlights a long-standing sample in U.S. political historical past: former elected officers typically battle to adapt to subordinate govt roles. Whereas formally ousted over coverage disagreements on Iran, insiders counsel Waltz’s downfall stemmed extra from his failure to simply accept the bounds of employees energy—performing extra like a policymaker than an adviser. This dynamic has performed out repeatedly for the reason that Civil Battle, with outstanding figures similar to William Seward, Salmon Chase, Donald Rumsfeld, and David Stockman all grappling with the lack of autonomy after transitioning from impartial political roles to the hierarchical construction of presidential administrations. As the manager department has centralized energy within the West Wing, the expectation for loyalty and discretion has intensified, making it troublesome for strong-willed former lawmakers to adapt. Waltz’s reassignment to UN ambassador displays a well-known political demotion for these unable—or unwilling—to subordinate private affect to the president’s agenda.  Politico

Mexican Navy coaching vessel collides with Brooklyn Bridge, killing two. A Mexican navy tall ship, the ARM Cuauhtémoc, crashed into New York’s Brooklyn Bridge on Saturday night, snapping its masts and claiming the lives of two crew members. Two others had been critically injured, and 22 had been wounded in whole, based on the Mexican navy. Regardless of the collision, the bridge sustained no structural injury. The coaching vessel, carrying 277 folks together with 147 cadets, was departing New York en path to Iceland as a part of a world goodwill tour when it appeared to endure a mechanical failure. The ship drifted backward, putting the bridge and shearing off its masts as surprised bystanders watched and fled from close by Brooklyn Bridge Park. The Cuauhtémoc had not too long ago stopped at South Avenue Seaport and was scheduled to go to 22 ports in 15 nations. U.S. authorities, together with the Nationwide Transportation Security Board, are investigating the incident. Wall Avenue Journal New York Instances Related Press CNN   

Comey’s ‘86 47’ Put up Is Newest Social-Media Misadventure for Ex-FBI Boss. Former FBI Director James Comey sparked controversy with a now-deleted Instagram publish exhibiting seashells organized within the numbers “86 47,” which critics interpreted as a veiled risk to “eliminate” President Trump. Although Comey claimed the publish was innocuous, he was questioned by the Secret Service and confronted Republican requires prosecution. Trump accused Comey of intent, whereas authorized specialists like John Fishwick, former U.S. legal professional for Virginia, famous that legislation enforcement figures ought to know the dangers of provocative posts. The incident comes as Comey promotes a brand new novel involving politically motivated violence, intensifying scrutiny of his public conduct. Regardless of his previous as a prosecutor and his said opposition to violence, Comey’s historical past with Trump—together with his 2017 firing throughout the Russia probe—continues to gasoline tensions. The Justice Division declined to touch upon whether or not costs could be thought of, and plenty of specialists view a felony case as unlikely. Wall Avenue Journal

How do nations rank by army spending? In accordance with The Economist’s 2025 army spending evaluation, primarily based on knowledge from the Stockholm Worldwide Peace Analysis Institute (SIPRI), america stays the highest world protection spender, with a price range bigger than the following 9 nations mixed. Nevertheless, the hole narrows when adjusted for army purchasing-power parity (PPP), which accounts for variations in native wages and prices. China and Russia comply with carefully, with their mixed PPP-adjusted budgets almost equaling that of the U.S. India additionally ranks among the many prime spenders. Ukraine leads the world in protection spending as a share of GDP, allocating 34.5%, with $65 billion in direct spending and $199 billion at army PPP, plus $45.3 billion in army assist. NATO allies (excluding the U.S.) have elevated protection spending by 24% over two years, and 18 of 32 members now meet the two% of GDP goal. Regardless of these will increase, the U.S. and its allies now characterize a barely smaller share of worldwide army spending than a decade in the past. Protection budgets totaled $2.7 trillion in 2024—up by 9.4% from 2023, the most important soar since not less than 1988. The Economist

Made within the USA: overseas protection firms’ eye larger slice of the American pie. Regardless of current commerce turbulence below the Trump administration, a number of overseas protection corporations are increasing operations within the U.S., in search of to deepen their stake within the American market. Sweden’s Saab has grown its footprint with new manufacturing websites in Rhode Island and Michigan, emphasizing long-term funding in superior applied sciences. Lufthansa Technik, the German aviation agency, is cautiously coming into U.S. protection work in Tulsa, Oklahoma, specializing in element and engine upkeep whereas navigating strict acquisition rules. CBC World Ammunition of Brazil introduced a $300 million funding to construct its first U.S. plant in Oklahoma, aiming to supply all ammunition parts domestically. Dak Hardwick, VP on the Aerospace Industries Affiliation, warned that unpredictable tariffs might complicate provide chains, impacting exports and home operations. Whereas tariffs goal to spice up home manufacturing, Oklahoma Governor Kevin Stitt famous they’ve additionally strained world partnerships vital to the state’s $44 billion aerospace sector. Nonetheless, officers stay hopeful about re-shoring and provide chain resilience. Protection One

Vance, Rubio meet with first American pope amid efforts to reset relations with Vatican. U.S. Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio met with newly elected Pope Leo XIV on Monday to reset U.S.-Vatican relations by specializing in shared objectives like world peace, whereas downplaying tensions over immigration. Leo has burdened ending conflicts in Gaza, Ukraine, and Myanmar, aligning with Trump’s efforts to current himself as a peacemaker. Nevertheless, Leo’s previous advocacy for migrants and criticism of Trump-era immigration insurance policies, together with posts from a now-defunct account believed to be his, counsel that deep ideological divides stay. Whereas Vance and Rubio praised Trump’s peace file and highlighted their Catholic religion, Vatican officers and observers be aware Leo’s life work selling dignity and social justice might distinction sharply with Trump’s nationalist agenda. Although Leo has circuitously criticized Trump, his background and message sign a extra inclusive imaginative and prescient. Regardless of efforts at diplomacy, U.S. officers privately admit the rift over migration coverage is probably going unbridgeable. Washington Put up NBC Information Reuters 

FBI identifies suspect in Palm Springs fertility clinic bombing. The FBI has recognized 25-year-old Man Edward Bartkus because the suspect in a lethal bombing exterior a Palm Springs fertility clinic, labeling it an intentional act of terrorism pushed by “nihilistic ideations.” The blast, which occurred Saturday close to the American Reproductive Middle, killed one particular person and injured not less than 4 others, however didn’t injury saved embryos. Bartkus is believed to have died within the explosion, which he tried to livestream, and a attainable manifesto is below investigation. Authorities say there isn’t any ongoing risk and are treating the case as the biggest bombing crime scene in Southern California historical past.  Reuters Related Press BBC The Guardian

May Brazilian chief Lula’s journey to Beijing herald higher Chinese language protection position in area? Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva’s current go to to China has raised the prospect of future protection and safety cooperation between the 2 nations, doubtlessly difficult U.S. strategic pursuits in Latin America. A key second was Lula’s assembly with Chen Defang, head of Chinese language protection large Norinco, to debate a attainable funding in Brazil’s financially struggling aerospace and protection agency Avibras. Although no formal agreements had been made, Brazilian officers expressed openness to Chinese language funding, together with in public safety applied sciences like facial recognition. Norinco had beforehand supplied to accumulate a 49% stake in Avibras. Analysts be aware that such a deal would inject very important funds into Avibras and will facilitate Chinese language arms exports to Latin America, a area traditionally reliant on American and European weapons. Nevertheless, the potential partnership has already triggered U.S. concern. Washington warned it could impose an embargo on U.S. protection merchandise if the deal proceeds. South China Morning Put up 

Colombia seeks to hitch China-based growth financial institution as Latin America drifts away from Washington. Colombia has utilized to hitch the China-led New Improvement Financial institution, signaling a shift in Latin America’s geopolitical alignments amid U.S. overseas assist cuts and commerce tensions below the Trump administration. President Gustavo Petro met with former Brazilian President and financial institution head Dilma Rousseff in Shanghai and dedicated to buying $512 million in shares. He hopes the financial institution will fund a significant canal or railway connecting Colombia’s Atlantic and Pacific coasts, enhancing commerce with Asia. The New Improvement Financial institution, based by BRICS nations, has financed over $40 billion in infrastructure tasks. Colombia’s transfer, following Uruguay’s earlier bid, marks a notable departure from its conventional U.S. alliance. The U.S. has voiced robust opposition to China-linked tasks within the area, however Petro, a former guerrilla, insists Bogotá will stay impartial and make impartial choices, participating each Washington and Beijing equally. Related Press Bloomberg 

France set to construct supermax jail in South American jungle. France will construct a high-security jail within the South American jungle of French Guiana to deal with its most harmful criminals, together with drug traffickers and convicted Islamist radicals, Justice Minister Gérald Darmanin has introduced. Situated in Saint-Laurent-du-Maroni, the 60-inmate facility will open in 2028, and is ready to function a particularly strict regime geared toward isolating prime figures in organized crime and reducing off their contact with felony networks. Darmanin described the jail as a key ingredient in his broader anti-drug technique, focusing on trafficking from Guiana, via mainland France, and right down to shoppers. The area, a key departure level for drug mules heading to Paris, has the best crime charge of any French territory, with a murder charge almost 14 instances the nationwide common. South China Morning Put up Financial Instances The Telegraph 

THE UKRAINE UPDATE

Russia Unleashes One in all Its Largest Drone Barrages of the Ukraine Battle. Russia launched considered one of its largest drone assaults of the struggle on Sunday, sending 273 drones and decoys throughout Ukraine, primarily focusing on Kyiv. A 28-year-old girl was killed, and several other others, together with a baby, had been injured. The assault got here simply earlier than President Donald Trump’s deliberate talks with each Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on Monday. The assault adopted failed peace talks in Istanbul on Friday, which produced solely a prisoner swap settlement. New York Instances Reuters

Trump says he’ll converse on Monday with Putin and Zelensky about stopping Russia’s struggle in Ukraine. President Donald Trump introduced Saturday he’ll maintain telephone calls on Monday with Russian President Vladimir Putin, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, and NATO leaders to push for a ceasefire within the Russia-Ukraine struggle. In a Fact Social publish, Trump stated the decision with Putin will deal with “stopping the massacre” that’s killing over 5,000 troopers weekly, in addition to commerce points. He added, “Hopefully it will likely be a productive day, a ceasefire will happen, and this very violent struggle… will finish.” Trump emphasised that he believes no peace deal can succeed with out his direct involvement. Regardless of U.S.-led stress for a ceasefire and Friday’s low-level talks in Istanbul ensuing solely in a prisoner swap, Trump steered he and Putin should meet in particular person for actual progress. Secretary of State Marco Rubio echoed Trump’s push for a right away ceasefire in calls with Russian Overseas Minister Sergey Lavrov. Wall Avenue Journal Washington Put up CNN Monetary Instances Axios

4 European leaders goal to talk with Trump earlier than his name with Putin, Merz says. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz stated on Sunday that he and the leaders of France, Britain, and Poland plan to talk with U.S. President Donald Trump earlier than Trump’s scheduled name with Russian President Vladimir Putin on Monday. Merz mentioned the matter with U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio throughout the Vatican’s inaugural mass for Pope Leo XIV and likewise met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy. The purpose is to align positions forward of Trump’s dialog with Putin. Reuters

Zelensky meets Pope Leo XIV, Vance on the Vatican on Sunday. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky attended the inaugural Mass of Pope Leo XIV on the Vatican on Sunday, the place the brand new pontiff stated that “martyred Ukraine awaits negotiations for a simply and lasting peace.” After the service, Zelensky met privately with the pope, thanking him for the Vatican’s supply to host Russia-Ukraine peace talks. The pope’s robust ethical stance, together with a public denunciation of Russia’s invasion whereas nonetheless a bishop, has positioned him as a doubtlessly influential mediator. Zelensky additionally met with U.S. Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio in Rome, whereas German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and different European leaders coordinated forward of U.S. President Donald Trump’s deliberate name with Russian President Vladimir Putin. Amid escalating Russian drone assaults and failed ceasefire talks in Istanbul, Zelensky emphasised the Holy See’s doubtlessly vital position in ending the struggle “due to its voice and authority.”  Following the collapse of Friday’s Russia-Ukraine peace talks in Istanbul—marked by Russian President Vladimir Putin’s refusal to attend—Pope Leo XIV has supplied the Vatican as a impartial venue for renewed negotiations.  New York Instances Kyiv Unbiased Reuters Related Press Politico EU

Trump’s Ukraine Coverage Pressured ‘the Sufferer,’ Former Ambassador Says. In a sharply worded opinion essay revealed Friday within the Detroit Free Press, former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget A. Brink stated she resigned her publish in April attributable to President Donald Trump’s Ukraine coverage, which she stated, “pressured the sufferer reasonably than the aggressor.” Brink, a profession diplomat who served below each Republican and Democratic presidents, stated she might not in good religion perform a coverage she believed amounted to appeasement of Russia. She condemned the “pure evil” of the Russian invasion, citing mass civilian deaths, abductions, and struggle crimes, and burdened that U.S. management is crucial to defending democracy and world safety. Drawing on her Michigan roots and household’s World Battle II service, Brink argued that America should not flip away from its values or allies. Her essay stands as a uncommon, direct rebuke of Trump’s overseas coverage from a not too long ago serving ambassador, delivered publicly in her dwelling state. In an interview with CBS’ Face the Nation program on Sunday, she elaborated, saying, “I totally agree that the struggle wants to finish, however I imagine that peace at any worth isn’t peace in any respect. It’s appeasement and, as we all know from historical past, appeasement solely results in extra struggle.” New York Instances Detroit Free Press Reuters Politico EU Face the Nation

Russia takes robust stance in Istanbul talks, threatens Ukraine with lengthy struggle. On the first direct talks between Russia and Ukraine in three years, held in Istanbul on Friday, Russia took a hardline stance and issued veiled threats of a protracted struggle. Led by Vladimir Medinsky, the Russian delegation demanded that Ukraine cede management of territories Russia solely partially occupies, a nonstarter for Kyiv. Medinsky reportedly warned Ukrainians that Russia was able to “wage struggle eternally” if its circumstances weren’t met, invoking historic conflicts to underline Moscow’s resolve. Though the 2 sides agreed on a prisoner swap, no progress was made on a ceasefire. Ukraine, led by Protection Minister Rustem Umerov, rejected territorial concessions and emphasised Russia’s duty for persevering with the struggle. Regardless of U.S. and European efforts to push for a ceasefire, Russian rhetoric and President Donald Trump’s choice to remain away, whereas expressing intent to satisfy Russian President Vladimir Putin, additional undercut the negotiations. Russia’s calls for sign continued entrenchment, and a technique geared toward attrition, not compromise. Washington Put up Reuters

‘Non-starter’ Ukraine talks renew name for US sanctions invoice. After the transient and unproductive Russia-Ukraine ceasefire talks in Istanbul on Friday, U.S. senators renewed bipartisan requires passing stalled sanctions laws focusing on Russia. The talks, the primary direct engagement in over three years, ended rapidly with Russia proposing circumstances Ukraine deemed “non-starters.” Senators Richard Blumenthal and Lindsey Graham, co-authors of an April 1 invoice imposing measures like a 500% tariff on imports from nations shopping for Russian vitality, urged rapid motion. The Senate invoice has 73 co-sponsors, however no vote has been scheduled. Graham criticized Russian President Vladimir Putin’s absence from the talks, saying it’s time to cease tolerating Russia’s delay techniques. Reuters Reuters 

EU readies new sanctions in opposition to Russia as Ukraine requires a tougher line on the Kremlin. After the Friday ceasefire talks in Istanbul ended with out progress, Ukraine and European leaders swiftly condemned Russia’s calls for and pushed for extra decisive motion. Ukrainian officers described the Kremlin’s proposals—together with requires Ukrainian territorial withdrawal—as “non-starters” and “indifferent from actuality.” Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky instantly contacted U.S. President Donald Trump and European leaders, urging “robust sanctions” if Russian President Vladimir Putin continues rejecting an entire, unconditional ceasefire. British Prime Minister Keir Starmer known as Russia’s stance “clearly unacceptable,” whereas European Fee President Ursula von der Leyen confirmed {that a} new European Union sanctions package deal is within the works. Regardless of a restricted settlement on a prisoner change, Kyiv considered the talks as additional proof that Moscow is utilizing diplomacy to stall whereas persevering with its army aggression. Ukrainian and European leaders at the moment are carefully coordinating to keep up stress on Russia and deny Putin the strategic good points he seeks via extended struggle and coercive negotiations. Reuters Reuters Reuters

Merz tries to quell Meloni-Macron spat over Ukraine. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz tried to ease tensions between French President Emmanuel Macron and Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni after a diplomatic spat erupted over Meloni’s exclusion from a high-level European assembly on Ukraine in Albania on Friday. Macron accused Meloni of spreading “false info” about being unnoticed attributable to her opposition to troop deployments, which he denied had been mentioned. Meloni, a staunch supporter of Ukraine, argued Italy wasn’t included as a result of it refuses to hitch a postwar “coalition of the keen.” Merz met with Meloni in Rome on Saturday evening, affirming Italy’s important position in peace efforts and stressing European Union unity. The incident, which sparked political backlash in Italy, displays longstanding friction between Macron and Meloni. Regardless of previous tensions with German management, Merz publicly supported Meloni, aiming to strengthen ties. Meloni known as for unity and a “simply peace” for Ukraine, framing the Istanbul talks as solely “a timid first step.’’ Monetary Instances

Russian Troops Are Battle-Weary however Wish to Conquer Extra of Ukraine. Regardless of rising exhaustion, many Russian troopers reject a cease-fire that freezes the struggle alongside present traces, fearing it might render their sacrifices meaningless. In interviews with The New York Instances, frontline troops expressed frustration with each the Kremlin and peace proposals backed by the U.S. and Ukraine. Troopers demanded full management of the 4 partially occupied Ukrainian areas annexed by Russia early within the struggle. Their sentiments replicate widespread nationalist expectations that make any compromise politically dangerous for Russian President Vladimir Putin. In the meantime, Ukraine’s tentative acceptance of a cease-fire with out safety ensures is considered in Kyiv and the West as a significant concession, however one that won’t fulfill both facet. Years of struggle propaganda have satisfied many Russians they’re engaged in an existential battle in opposition to the West, and Putin might battle to promote an inconclusive final result as victory. The Kremlin now faces not solely battlefield challenges however the threat of postwar disillusionment amongst hardened, disaffected veterans. New York Instances

Russia and Ukraine Conform to Prisoner Swap in First Direct Talks in Years. At Friday’s talks in Istanbul, Russia and Ukraine agreed to conduct a significant prisoner change, with every committing to launch 1,000 prisoners of struggle. Russian delegation head Vladimir Medinsky confirmed the deal, calling it one of many assembly’s concrete outcomes and a “large” change. Ukrainian Protection Minister Rustem Umerov, who led Kyiv’s delegation, additionally acknowledged the settlement. If accomplished, it might be the biggest swap of the struggle. Whereas broader peace talks stay stalled, the prisoner change was seen as a humanitarian step ahead amidst ongoing hostilities. New York Instances Reuters

Ukraine Is Making Extra Weapons Than Ever—however Nonetheless Can’t Struggle Russia Alone. Ukraine has dramatically expanded its home arms manufacturing since Russia’s 2022 invasion, creating weapons just like the Bohdana howitzer, now manufactured at over 20 models monthly. Greater than 40% of front-line weapons are Ukrainian made, together with almost all drones and digital warfare instruments. Nevertheless, regardless of this progress—from $1 billion in 2022 to $35 billion in capability—Ukraine nonetheless depends closely on Western assist, significantly for air protection and ammunition. Monetary constraints restrict authorities procurement, leaving factories underutilized. Western allies, like Denmark, at the moment are funding direct purchases from Ukrainian arms producers to assist fill the hole. But tasks like home 155mm NATO-standard ammunition stay stalled attributable to lack of funding. Protection officers emphasize Ukraine’s long-term purpose to be self-reliant militarily and economically via its rising arms business. Nonetheless, because the struggle intensifies, Ukraine can’t maintain the battle or guarantee sovereignty with out continued overseas assist. Wall Avenue Journal

Canada PM Carney reaffirms assist for Ukraine in first assembly with Zelensky. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney held his first in-person assembly with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in Rome, Italy, on Saturday. The assembly passed off forward of the inaugural mass for newly elected Pope Leo on the Vatican. Carney reaffirmed Canada’s “steadfast and unwavering” assist for Ukraine. He additionally met with different world leaders in preparation for the upcoming G7 summit in Canada this June. Reuters

Report: Russia is focusing on Ukrainian accommodations to discourage journalists. A report by Reporters With out Borders and Ukrainian watchdog Fact Hounds reveals that Russia has focused not less than 25 accommodations close to Ukraine’s entrance traces since 2022, in what seems to be a deliberate effort to intimidate journalists and stifle struggle protection. Whereas Russia claims army personnel or overseas fighters keep in these accommodations, investigators discovered no proof linking the assaults to army exercise. As a substitute, the accommodations had been recognized to deal with journalists. The precision of missile strikes signifies they had been deliberately focused. At the very least 24 journalists have been injured, and one killed in these assaults. In consequence, many media shops have lowered front-line reporting, and journalists now keep away from accommodations, choosing riskier alternate options like rented flats or lengthy each day commutes. The marketing campaign has severely hampered impartial reporting from the entrance, with 64% of journalists saying their work has develop into considerably harder as a result of assaults. Washington Put up

Ukraine Scenario Report: Third F-16 Viper Misplaced. Ukraine misplaced its third F-16 Viper, however the pilot survived after ejecting throughout a nighttime mission on Friday. In accordance with the Ukrainian Air Drive, the pilot had already downed three air targets and was participating a fourth when an onboard emergency pressured him to crash the jet away from a populated space. The trigger is below investigation. Ukraine has obtained guarantees of 85 F-16s from Western allies, although some are for coaching or spare components reasonably than fight deployment. The Battle Zone

Russian assault kills 9, Ukraine says, simply hours after peace talks. Simply hours after Russia and Ukraine held their first direct talks in over three years in Istanbul on Friday, a Russian Lancet drone strike hit a civilian minibus in Bilopillia, Sumy area, killing 9 folks, together with a household and several other aged ladies. The assault was condemned as a deliberate assault on civilians. New York Instances Washington Put up Reuters

ISW Russian Offensive Marketing campaign Evaluation for Friday, Might 16-Sunday, Might 18. SUNDAY– Russian forces launched the biggest drone strike of the struggle in a single day on Sunday, deploying 273 drones regardless of U.S. President Donald Trump’s name to halt long-range strikes. On the identical time, the Kremlin launched pre-recorded footage of Vladimir Putin touting Russia’s army capabilities and resolve forward of Monday’s telephone name with Trump, a part of a broader effort to venture power. Home assist for a protracted struggle stays robust, as surveys reveal many Russians oppose any settlement wanting Putin’s unique struggle goals. SATURDAY–Russian Safety Council Deputy Chair Dmitry Medvedev issued veiled threats that failed peace talks might result in a “extra horrible stage of struggle,” doubtlessly involving new weapons. Moreover, the Kremlin continues to query the legitimacy of Ukraine’s authorities, setting rhetorical circumstances to desert future peace agreements and advocating regime change in Kyiv. FRIDAY–Russian Presidential Aide Vladimir Medinsky emphasised at peace talks with Ukraine on Friday in Istanbul that Russia is ready to proceed the struggle for years, rejecting the thought of a ceasefire earlier than negotiations. On the talks, the Russian delegation reiterated calls for for Ukraine to withdraw from all 4 illegally annexed oblasts and reportedly escalated threats to grab Kharkiv and Sumy, marking a proper growth of territorial ambitions. The Kremlin has lengthy informally claimed further Ukrainian territory, and up to date rhetoric suggests Russia might try to codify these claims in future negotiations, particularly involving areas like Kharkiv, Sumy, and the broader “Novorossiya” idea. Analysts at ISW assess that Russian President Vladimir Putin will solely negotiate critically if battlefield or financial stress forces him to desert his attritional struggle technique. Putin authorised new top-level army appointments on Thursday, together with naming Basic Andrei Mordvichev as Commander-in-Chief of the Floor Forces, signaling endorsement of his grinding attritional techniques. Russian reinforcements from Kursk and Zaporizhia counsel that the command might prioritize renewed efforts to grab Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad. Alternatively, Russia might deal with advancing towards Kostyantynivka, leveraging good points southwest of Toretsk and in search of to push alongside key highways to broaden management. On account of restricted manpower and assets, Russia is unlikely to maintain simultaneous offensives towards each Pokrovsk and Kostyantynivka. Russia’s problem in breaking via defensive traces close to Chasiv Yar and Toretsk might power a pause earlier than trying bigger operations in opposition to fortified city areas.

Battlefield replace: Ukrainian forces superior close to Lyman. Russian forces superior close to Borova, Chasiv Yar, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, Kurakhove, Novopavlivka, and within the Zaporizhia route. Sunday-Institute for the Examine of Battle Saturday-Institute for the Examine of Battle Friday-Institute for the Examine of Battle

EUROPE

Russia detained oil tanker in Baltic Sea, stories Estonia. Russia detained the Greek-owned, Liberia-flagged oil tanker Inexperienced Admire on Sunday after it departed Estonia’s Sillamae port and handed via Russian territorial waters by way of a longtime navigation channel. Estonia’s Overseas Ministry linked the detention to its crackdown on Russia’s “shadow fleet,” which is used to avoid Western oil sanctions. The tanker, operated by Athens-based Aegean Ship Administration and insured by Norway’s Skuld, was carrying Estonian shale oil to Rotterdam and was almost totally loaded. A Greek official stated the vessel entered Russian waters to keep away from shallows and was intercepted for a nice. Estonia has alerted NATO, although the alliance has not but commented. Estonia now plans to reroute ships via its personal waters. The incident comes amid heightened tensions within the Baltic Sea, following current infrastructure disruptions and Estonia’s efforts to dam sanctioned Russian oil shipments. Greece is monitoring the state of affairs however has not been requested to intervene. Reuters Al Jazeera Kyiv Unbiased 

Estonian PM vows to maintain up checks on Russia’s ‘shadow fleet.’ Estonia will proceed to examine suspected Russian “shadow fleet” oil tankers regardless of rising tensions, Prime Minister Kristen Michal informed Reuters on Sunday. The pledge follows an incident through which Russia deployed a Su-35 fighter jet that briefly breached NATO airspace as Estonia tried to redirect a sanctioned tanker. These vessels, typically missing clear possession and Western insurance coverage, carry a lot of Moscow’s oil to consumers like China and India. Michal stated Estonia and neighboring nations like Finland will stay vigilant and query any suspicious exercise. Tallinn beforehand detained the tanker Kiwala in April. Michal criticized Russia’s continued entry to world oil markets throughout its struggle in Ukraine, calling for tighter enforcement of sanctions. He emphasised Estonia’s dedication to protection, allocating 5% of GDP, and urged different NATO members to comply with go well with. Reuters

Polish PM Tusk says Russian hackers focused occasion web sites earlier than election. Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk stated final week that Russian hackers focused the web sites of his ruling coalition’s events, together with Civic Platform, simply two days earlier than a presidential election. Tusk confirmed that the assaults, which additionally hit the Left and Polish Folks’s Social gathering (PSL), had been ongoing and being investigated. Individually, Polish authorities are probing political adverts on Fb that the state analysis institute NASK flagged as attainable overseas electoral interference. The adverts, which spent greater than any official marketing campaign up to now week, appeared to assist one candidate whereas discrediting others. Meta has since eliminated them. These incidents comply with a broader sample of cyberattacks—as much as 1,000 each day—linked to Russia and Belarus in response to Poland’s robust assist for Ukraine. Related Press Kyiv Unbiased France 24 Euronews

Poland seizes tires for Boeing plane headed for Russia.  Polish customs authorities have seized 5 metric tons of plane tires supposed for Boeing civilian planes that had been in transit to Russia by way of Belarus, citing a violation of European Union sanctions. The cargo, despatched from a Spanish firm to a recipient in Azerbaijan, was falsely declared as automotive and bus tires. Prison proceedings for customs fraud have been initiated. Since Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine, Boeing and different Western aerospace corporations have halted assist and spare components for Russian airways, leaving Russia’s aviation sector struggling to keep up its largely foreign-built fleet.  Reuters

Britain and E.U. Strike Landmark Brexit Reset Deal.  ​​Britain and the European Union have agreed to a significant reset of their post-Brexit relationship, putting a brand new commerce and protection deal amid shifting world dynamics pushed by U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs and requires European self-reliance. The settlement permits the UK to take part in EU joint protection procurement packages and eases commerce boundaries, together with lowering crimson tape for meals exporters and restoring quicker border entry for UK vacationers. It additionally features a new fishing settlement and plans for youth mobility and potential reentry into the Erasmus+ change program. British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, aiming to maneuver past Brexit-era divisions, framed the deal as a sensible step towards financial progress and improved ties, whereas critics like Nigel Farage and the Conservative Social gathering warned it concedes an excessive amount of EU oversight. Regardless of the reset, Britain’s economic system and world place stay considerably altered from its pre-Brexit standing. New York Instances Reuters Wall Avenue Journal

China totally respects Denmark’s sovereignty in Greenland, overseas minister says. Chinese language Overseas Minister Wang Yi affirmed Beijing’s full respect for Denmark’s sovereignty over Greenland throughout a gathering with Danish counterpart Lars Lokke Rasmussen, whereas urging Denmark to reciprocate by supporting China’s positions on points like Taiwan. The assertion comes amid rigidity over Denmark’s current internet hosting of former Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen, which drew criticism from Beijing. Regardless of previous diplomatic strains, together with over the Dalai Lama’s 2009 go to, China and Denmark have strengthened ties via financial and inexperienced vitality cooperation, notably in wind energy and environmental expertise. Wang emphasised China’s need to broaden collaboration with Denmark and the EU on commerce, innovation, and multilateralism.  Reuters

Professional-EU reasonable Nicușor Dan wins Romanian presidential election stunner. Centrist impartial Nicușor Dan received Romania’s presidential runoff with 54% of the vote, defeating far-right populist George Simion, an admirer of President Donald Trump who had led within the first spherical and questioned the legitimacy of the election. The victory, powered by the nation’s highest voter turnout since 1996, rejects ultranationalist and pro-Moscow politics. Dan, a soft-spoken former mathematician and Bucharest mayor, campaigned on a pro-European Union, pro-NATO platform, pledging assist for Ukraine and reforms to stabilize Romania’s fragile economic system. Simion, in contrast, vowed to halt assist to Ukraine and align Romania with nationalist leaders like Hungary’s Viktor Orbán. Although Simion initially claimed victory and alleged fraud, he in the end conceded. The election adopted a earlier spherical annulled attributable to alleged Russian interference in favor of a now-disqualified far-right candidate. Dan’s win is seen as a democratic reaffirmation of Romania’s Western orientation at a vital geopolitical second. The election included allegations of Russian interference. Politico EU  Reuters Bloomberg Monetary Instances Politico EU 

NATO corruption probe ‘reminder’ of protection growth dangers.  A widening corruption probe into NATO’s Help and Procurement Company (NSPA) has led to 5 arrests throughout Belgium and the Netherlands, with investigations now spanning Luxembourg, Italy, Spain, and the U.S., amid allegations that staff leaked delicate protection contract info to non-public corporations and laundered income by way of consultancy firms. NATO Secretary-Basic Mark Rutte said the company itself initiated the inquiry, emphasizing a dedication to transparency. The scandal comes at a delicate time, as NATO prepares for a significant surge in protection spending amid rising threats from Russia, with member nations anticipated to pledge 3.5% of GDP towards protection—elevating issues from watchdogs like Transparency Worldwide over the dangers of oversight gaps and elevated protection business lobbying.  Deutsche Welle

The shadowy warlord behind Romania’s wrecked election. Romania’s 2024 presidential election was annulled amid allegations of Russian interference favoring far-right candidate Călin Georgescu, triggering a political disaster. Intelligence stories linked Georgescu to Horațiu Potra, a Romanian French mercenary commander accused of plotting a Jan. 6-style rebel. Potra, arrested with armed males whereas on path to Bucharest, is charged with trying to undermine the constitutional order. Investigators uncovered €3 million in hidden money, military-grade weapons, and ties to Russia, Chechnya, and controversial mining pursuits. Regardless of being banned from the rerun election on Sunday, Georgescu stays influential, along with his supporters now backing George Simion, a fellow hard-right candidate. Potra, needed internationally, urged Romanian troopers to rise in opposition to the federal government in a leaked message. Proof additionally exhibits Potra secretly financed Georgescu’s marketing campaign. The scandal highlights Romania’s strategic vulnerability as a NATO border state and has drawn consideration from figures like U.S. Vice President JD Vance and Elon Musk. Politico EU

The liberal favourite stumbles in Poland’s presidential election. Rafal Trzaskowski, the liberal mayor of Warsaw, narrowly led the primary spherical of Poland’s presidential election on Sunday, with 30.8% of the vote, forward of nationalist candidate Karol Nawrocki’s 29.1%. The shut outcome was a shock, as polls had projected a wider lead for Trzaskowski. With assist for right-wing candidates totaling over 50%, Trzaskowski now enters the June 1 runoff because the underdog. His problem is to distance himself from Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s unpopular centrist authorities and enchantment to undecided voters. Nawrocki, backed by the Regulation and Justice (PiS) occasion, has framed the race as a referendum on Tusk’s management. Whereas each candidates assist protection spending and assist to Ukraine, Nawrocki appeals extra to Trump-aligned voters, whereas Trzaskowski emphasizes ties with the EU. A lot will hinge on the far-right Konfederacja voters, whose assist stays unsure. The outcome might considerably have an effect on Poland’s stance towards EU reforms and home coverage. The Economist Bloomberg Reuters

Portugal’s Middle Proper Wins Vote However Falls In need of Majority. Portugal’s center-right Democratic Alliance (AD), led by Prime Minister Luis Montenegro, received Sunday’s snap election with almost 33% of the vote and 89 seats within the 230-seat parliament, nonetheless wanting a governing majority. Whereas Montenegro retains energy via a minority authorities, the far-right Chega occasion, led by Andre Ventura, surged to a near-tie with the Socialist Social gathering for second place, every securing 58 seats. This marks a historic disruption of Portugal’s post-dictatorship two-party dominance. Montenegro has dominated out alliances with Chega, that means he’ll want piecemeal assist to cross laws. The Socialists suffered a significant loss, prompting chief Pedro Nuno Santos to resign. Chega’s rise displays voter frustration with institution events amid ongoing political instability. Analysts warn additional gridlock might derail key reforms and financial initiatives. Regardless of financial progress and monetary self-discipline, that is Portugal’s third early election in three years, with voters signaling a need for secure governance. Bloomberg Reuters

Russia Beefs Up Forces Close to Finland’s Border. Satellite tv for pc imagery confirmed by NATO officers exhibits Russia increasing army infrastructure close to its border with Finland, together with new tents, car warehouses, and revived fighter jet shelters, suggesting a long-term buildup reasonably than a right away risk. The exercise contrasts with the speedy, pre-invasion buildup seen earlier than Russia’s 2022 assault on Ukraine. Finland, now a NATO member, shares an 830-mile border with Russia, making it a brand new entrance in East-West tensions. Whereas troop ranges stay low, Finnish protection officers count on Russian forces alongside the frontier to triple as soon as the Ukraine struggle de-escalates. Army analysts say Russia views the Arctic—and its entry—as very important to its nice energy standing, prompting the relocation of property to northern bases like Murmansk and Olenya. Finnish leaders stay calm however vigilant, making ready for future escalations. The developments replicate broader Russian efforts to counter NATO growth and counsel the Finnish border might develop into a strategic hotspot in post-war geopolitics. New York Instances

UK police cost three Iranians with spying, Tehran summons British envoy in response. Three Iranian nationals—Mostafa Sepahvand, Farhad Javadi Manesh, and Shapoor Qalehali Khani Noori—have been charged below the UK’s Nationwide Safety Act for allegedly spying on behalf of Iran. The fees relate to surveillance and reconnaissance actions between August 2023 and February 2025, with intent to commit or help severe violence. Sepahvand is accused of focusing on an unidentified particular person within the UK. The opposite two males additionally face costs for espionage involving deliberate violence. The arrests comply with a fancy investigation by the Metropolitan Police’s Counter Terrorism Command. All three males had entered the UK by way of irregular migration routes between 2016 and 2022. Their instances have intensified scrutiny over unlawful migration as the federal government tightens border insurance policies. A fourth suspect was launched with out cost. The Iranian Overseas Ministry summoned the British cost d’affaires in Tehran in response. In a separate incident, 5 different Iranians had been not too long ago detained over an alleged terror plot, with the Israeli Embassy in London reportedly focused. Bloomberg RFE/RL Deutsche Welle 

THE. MIDDLE EAST

Israel expands floor operations to regulate Gaza as assist vans put together to enter.  Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu declared that Israel would retain management over your entire Gaza Strip, at the same time as worldwide stress pressured the federal government to ease its assist blockade amid stories of famine. Regardless of agreeing to permit restricted humanitarian provides into Gaza, Netanyahu vowed “full victory” via the destruction of Hamas and the restoration of remaining hostages. The Israeli army launched a brand new offensive, “Operation Gideon’s Chariots,” focusing on Hamas positions throughout Gaza, together with Khan Younis, the place over 500 Palestinians have reportedly been killed up to now eight days. The army additionally carried out an undercover raid killing a militant chief. Netanyahu acknowledged waning assist from U.S. allies over the humanitarian disaster and hinted that inside dissent was rising over the shortage of a post-war governance plan for Gaza. Oblique talks in Qatar have stalled, with Hamas rejecting Israeli phrases, and the struggle—sparked by Hamas’ October 2023 assault—continues to precise a devastating toll on Gaza’s inhabitants.  Reuters  Wall Avenue Journal New York Instances

Hamas Needed to Torpedo Israel-Saudi Take care of Oct. 7 Assaults, Paperwork Reveal. In accordance with paperwork reportedly found by the Israeli army in a Gaza tunnel and reviewed by The Wall Avenue Journal, Hamas launched its October 7, 2023, assault on Israel to sabotage U.S.-brokered normalization talks between Israel and Saudi Arabia. Minutes from a Hamas political bureau assembly on October 2 quote chief Yahya Sinwar saying {that a} main act was wanted to derail the deal, which he feared would marginalize the Palestinian trigger. The next assault killed round 1,200 Israelis and led to an enormous army response that has since claimed the lives of over 53,000 Palestinians, based on Gaza well being officers. The paperwork reveal Hamas’s rising alarm over regional normalization efforts and present that Iran and Hezbollah had mentioned assault methods with Hamas since 2021, although each reportedly sought to keep away from direct struggle with Israel. Different inside information burdened escalating tensions within the West Financial institution and Jerusalem and outlined a broader technique to undermine Arab Israeli ties. Many Hamas leaders concerned within the planning, together with Sinwar, at the moment are lifeless. In the meantime, the political fallout from the struggle has frozen Israeli Saudi normalization, with Riyadh now demanding a halt to the Gaza struggle and progress towards Palestinian statehood—circumstances more and more rejected by the Israeli political mainstream. Wall Avenue Journal

In Gaza, Lengthy-Struggling Palestinians Are Directing Their Anger at Hamas. Israel’s relentless marketing campaign in Gaza has begun to gasoline frustration amongst Palestinians, and because the struggle nears its twentieth month, Hamas is going through rising inside stress from extraordinary folks angered by ongoing hardship, brutal airstrikes, displacements, and deteriorating residing circumstances. Amid this, uncommon public protests have erupted throughout Gaza—significantly in Beit Lahiya—the place residents have brazenly demanded an finish to the struggle and for Hamas to relinquish energy. Protesters accuse Hamas of prioritizing its personal survival over the folks’s welfare. Social media influencers have amplified the protests, filling the void left by media suppression and worry of retaliation. The motion displays a big shift in Gazan sentiment, with public assist for Hamas’s October 7 assault on Israel falling from 71% in March of final yr to 37% not too long ago. Regardless of airstrikes and threats from militants, protests have continued. Hamas’s weakened grip and failure to satisfy public wants have eroded its legitimacy amongst many Palestinians. Wall Avenue Journal

Leaders throughout Arab world vow to work on Gaza’s reconstruction, urge ceasefire. On the annual Arab summit in Baghdad on Saturday, leaders known as for a right away finish to Israel’s army operations in Gaza and demanded unrestricted humanitarian assist entry to Palestinian territories. They pledged assist for Gaza’s reconstruction as soon as the struggle ends, with Iraq committing $20 million to Gaza, and the same sum to Lebanon. The summit emphasised rejecting any pressured displacement of Palestinians. Egyptian President el-Sissi burdened that regional peace hinges on the institution of a Palestinian state, whereas Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas urged Hamas to relinquish management of Gaza to the Palestinian Authority. The ultimate summit assertion supported a two-state answer and known as for a global peace convention. Arab leaders additionally expressed assist for Syrian unity, condemned Israeli strikes in Syria, and welcomed efforts to raise Western sanctions on Damascus and Tehran, viewing these steps as essential to regional restoration and diplomacy. Related Press Instances of Israel 

U.S. envoy Witkoff cites White Home’s ‘very clear crimson line’ with Iran. U.S. Particular Envoy Steve Witkoff on Sunday asserted that any nuclear cope with Iran should embrace an entire ban on uranium enrichment, reaffirming President Trump’s longstanding place. In an interview with ABC, Witkoff burdened that “even 1% of an enrichment functionality” is unacceptable, because it permits nuclear weaponization. Iran swiftly rejected this situation. Overseas Minister Abbas Araqchi stated the American envoy is “fully at a distance from the fact of the negotiations,” and insisted that Iran’s enrichment actions would proceed. Araqchi additionally dismissed Witkoff’s understanding of the negotiations as out of contact. Whereas Witkoff expressed optimism about resuming talks in Europe quickly, Araqchi famous that no official U.S. proposal had been obtained, contradicting Trump’s declare that one had been introduced. Trump had not too long ago said that the U.S. was near a deal however warned Iran to behave rapidly or face penalties. Reuters Instances of Israel 

Syria’s authorities forces remove Islamic State militants, raid hideouts in Aleppo. Syrian safety forces performed a uncommon operation in opposition to Islamic State (IS) militants in Aleppo on Saturday, killing three fighters and arresting a number of others, based on official statements. The raids focused sleeper cells in 4 places, ensuing within the loss of life of 1 safety officer and the seizure of weapons, bombs, and faux safety uniforms. One militant reportedly blew himself up throughout the operation. This marks the primary publicly introduced anti-IS operation in Syria’s second-largest metropolis. Interim President Ahmed al-Sharaa, a former al Qaeda affiliate chief who got here to energy after Bashar al-Assad’s ousting, has lengthy opposed IS. Regardless of the jihadist group dropping most of its territory lately, it continues to hold out lethal assaults, together with a failed plot in Damascus in January and a current ambush that killed 5 Kurdish-led SDF fighters. Reuters Al Jazeera 

Syria units deadline for ‘small’ armed teams to merge with Protection Ministry. Syria’s Protection Minister Murhaf Abu Qasra has issued a 10-day ultimatum for small armed teams not but aligned with the state safety equipment to combine or face unspecified penalties. This transfer goals to consolidate state authority below interim President Ahmed al-Sharaa, six months after the autumn of Bashar al-Assad. Whereas some armed factions, together with Sunni Arab insurgent teams, have already merged with the Protection Ministry, others stay exterior authorities management, complicating efforts to determine nationwide order. The assertion seems directed at smaller, unaffiliated militias reasonably than the U.S.-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), which had already agreed to combine with state establishments earlier this yr. The push for unification follows a diplomatic enhance for Damascus, as U.S. President Donald Trump not too long ago met with Sharaa and pledged to raise sanctions on Syria. In the meantime, violence continues in components of the nation, together with authorities raids in opposition to Islamic State cells in Aleppo. Reuters Instances of Israel   

Syria plans to print foreign money in UAE and Germany, ending Russian position. Syria plans to print newly designed foreign money within the UAE and Germany, transferring away from its longtime reliance on Russia. The shift additionally displays Damascus’s enhancing ties with Gulf and Western nations. The brand new banknotes will exclude the picture of former chief Bashar al-Assad, signaling a break from the previous. Foreign money shortages have worsened Syria’s financial disaster, and printing efforts accelerated after the EU eased monetary sanctions in February. Damascus is in superior talks with UAE-based printing firm Oumolat, and has obtained curiosity from German corporations, though no deal has been finalized. Moscow had printed Syria’s cash throughout the civil struggle, however European nations are cautious of Russian affect amid the struggle in Ukraine. Syria’s pound has not too long ago gained worth on the black market, however banks proceed to limit entry to financial savings, including to financial stress. In the meantime, Syria signed an $800 million port growth cope with Abu Dhabi, marking renewed overseas funding. Reuters

Flights resume on the rebel-held airport in Yemen’s capital, greater than per week after Israeli strikes. Flights at Yemen’s Sanaa Worldwide Airport resumed on Saturday, greater than per week after Israeli airstrikes severely broken the power. The Might 6 strikes destroyed the terminal, cratered the runway, and hit six passenger planes, together with three from nationwide provider Yemenia. The Israeli assault was a response to a Houthi ballistic missile strike close to Tel Aviv’s Ben-Gurion Airport. The Houthis, a part of Iran’s so-called “Axis of Resistance,” have continued focusing on Israel and Purple Sea vessels in solidarity with Palestinians amid the Gaza struggle. Though a U.S.-brokered deal resulted in a halt in American airstrikes in change for the Houthis ceasing assaults on delivery, it didn’t stop their continued strikes on Israel. The Jewish state launched new assaults on Houthi-controlled Purple Sea ports on Friday, killing one particular person and wounding 11. Related Press 

What Gulf Arab states received, and didn’t get, out of Trump’s go to. President Trump’s visits to the Gulf states mirrored every nation’s purpose of securing stronger ties with Washington. Analysts say that whereas all three secured high-profile offers and symbolic wins, a few of their key ambitions stay unmet. Saudi Arabia aimed for a proper safety pact however settled for strengthened protection ties, signing billions in protection offers and U.S. investments. Riyadh additionally thought of Trump’s transfer to raise U.S. sanctions on Syria a diplomatic victory, enabling Gulf investments in Damascus. Nevertheless, the dominion didn’t obtain U.S. backing for its civilian nuclear program. Qatar secured a $96 billion plane cope with Boeing and obtained a U.S. safety pledge in opposition to regional threats, although controversy arose over the royal household’s present of a Boeing 747-8 jet for Air Drive One. The UAE centered on AI and expertise, saying an enormous AI knowledge heart venture in Abu Dhabi. Though it didn’t achieve rapid entry to superior U.S. microchips, a preliminary settlement might quickly ease these restrictions. General, the tour signaled a “new daybreak” in U.S.-Gulf relations, with financial and strategic partnerships deepening regardless of some unresolved points. CNN

Iranian Supreme Chief Khamenei says Trump is mendacity when he speaks of peace. Iran’s Supreme Chief Ayatollah Ali Khamenei slammed President Donald Trump on Saturday, accusing him of hypocrisy for claiming to hunt peace whereas supporting Israeli army actions in Gaza. Washington gives Israel with “10-ton bombs . . . to drop on the heads of Gaza’s youngsters,” Khamenei stated. He additionally dismissed Trump’s warning that Tehran should act rapidly on a U.S. nuclear proposal, calling it an “embarrassment” and reiterating his condemnation of Israel as a “cancerous tumor” that have to be eradicated. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian additionally questioned Trump’s credibility, noting the contradiction between his peace rhetoric and threats of “mass killing.” Pezeshkian affirmed his nation’s dedication to nuclear talks, however stated Tehran wouldn’t yield to intimidation or abandon its proper to complement uranium for peaceable functions. Overseas Minister Abbas Araqchi denied receiving a U.S. proposal and criticized Washington’s shifting negotiation frameworks for prolonging the method. No new session of nuclear talks has been scheduled. Reuters Instances of Israel 

ASIA & OCEANIA

Trump-Xi direct talks wanted quickly as clock ticks on commerce truce: ex-US diplomat.  Former U.S. ambassador to Russia Michael McFaul has urged an pressing direct assembly between President Donald Trump and Chinese language President Xi Jinping, warning that the shortage of dialogue jeopardizes the delicate 90-day commerce truce between the 2 nations. Talking at a discussion board in Beijing, McFaul known as the extended silence between the leaders “horrible” and emphasised that private engagement is crucial for stabilizing U.S.-China relations. He additionally known as for Secretary of State Marco Rubio to go to China and revive government-to-government discussions, stressing that high-level diplomacy is a obligatory first step towards enhancing bilateral ties.  South China Morning Put up 

China to increase UAV fight vary as first mission nears for ‘drone mom ship’ Jiu Tian.  China’s long-range unmanned aerial car (UAV) “Jiu Tian,” generally known as the “drone mom ship,” will undertake its first mission by the tip of June, marking a big step in increasing the Chinese language air power’s unmanned fight capabilities. The high-altitude, jet-powered UAV can fly as much as 7,000 kilometers at 15,000 meters and carry six tons of payload, together with as much as 100 small or kamikaze drones. Debuted on the Zhuhai air present, Jiu Tian is designed to function above most medium-range protection programs, permitting China to venture power farther and extra flexibly utilizing swarms of loitering munitions.  South China Morning Put up 

China makes use of carrots and sticks to spice up army ranks and discourage dodgers. In an effort to discourage army service evasion, Chinese language authorities have began to broadcast the punishments of troopers who go away the service. A neighborhood authorities not too long ago publicized the punishment of a 20-year-old man who voluntarily enlisted however later refused to serve. He was expelled from the military in April and penalized with a hefty nice, journey and job restrictions, and lack of entry to state advantages. Officers framed the self-discipline as a warning, one a part of broader efforts to strengthen the seriousness of army service amid China’s push to modernize its armed forces by 2027. The case displays ongoing recruitment challenges within the nation, together with youth disinterest and a shrinking inhabitants. To handle this, Beijing has ramped up each incentives—like schooling subsidies and household advantages—and penalties. Analysts say the federal government’s emphasis on punishment indicators rising urgency attributable to rising geopolitical tensions, significantly China’s rivalry with the U.S. Nevertheless, specialists argue that harsh measures alone are inadequate to draw youth. South China Morning Put up 

Chinese language gyroscope might make navigation extra secure for plane, ships and oil rigs. Chinese language researchers have developed a brand new air-core fiber-optic gyroscope that gives enhanced stability throughout a large temperature vary, doubtlessly enhancing navigation for plane, ships, submarines, and drilling rigs. Created by the Tianjin Navigation Devices Analysis Institute and Jinan College, the machine marks the primary occasion of navigation-grade efficiency in an air-core fiber-optic gyroscope, based on a paper revealed in Nature Communications. Not like conventional solid-core gyroscopes, that are delicate to environmental components like temperature and magnetic fields, the brand new design considerably reduces thermal sensitivity with out cumbersome protecting parts. Whereas it hasn’t but surpassed standard gyroscopes in absolute measurement accuracy, researchers say it units a brand new file for air-core fashions. The event is especially useful for inertial navigation programs that function with out exterior indicators, making them immune to interference—an vital benefit for army, aerospace, and safety purposes. South China Morning Put up 

World Well being Group nations do not invite Taiwan to annual meeting. Following fierce opposition from China, World Well being Group (WHO) member states rejected a proposal to ask Taiwan as an observer to this yr’s annual meeting in Geneva. Belize and Saint Vincent and the Grenadines—two of Taiwan’s few formal diplomatic allies—supported the proposal, calling Taiwan’s exclusion “unfair” and dangerous to world well being readiness. No main Western nation backed the proposal, and the U.S., which plans to exit the WHO, didn’t attend the session. China, which claims Taiwan as its territory, argued the proposal challenged the post-war worldwide order and blamed Taipei’s “separatist” stance for its exclusion. Taiwan had attended as an observer from 2009 to 2016, however is now barred from most worldwide our bodies attributable to Chinese language opposition. Reuters 

Pakistan Says It Expects Truce to Maintain as Hotline to India Stays Open. The Pakistani army stated it expects a fragile cease-fire with India to carry following clashes between the 2 nuclear-armed nations. The battle, which started on Might 7 when India launched strikes in response to a terrorist assault it blamed on Pakistan, ended with a U.S.-mediated cease-fire on Might 10. Pakistan reported 11 troopers, and several other civilians killed, whereas India reported 5 army deaths. Each side have claimed army successes. Pakistan acknowledged that Indian cruise missiles struck its Nur Khan air base and different websites, inflicting solely minor injury. It additionally claimed to have shot down six Indian warplanes, together with Rafale jets—claims India has not confirmed. Pakistan stated it focused 26 Indian army websites however has not launched imagery. Prime army officers from each nations stay involved to keep up stability alongside the disputed Kashmir border. New York Instances 

South Korea’s presidential candidates conflict in intense debate. In South Korea’s first televised presidential debate forward of the June 3 snap election, frontrunner Lee Jae-myung of the Democratic Social gathering and conservative rival Kim Moon-soo clashed over overseas coverage, financial restoration, and nationwide safety. Lee, advocating a realistic method, burdened the significance of balancing relations with China and Russia whereas sustaining U.S.-Japan safety ties. He criticized dashing right into a U.S. commerce deal and pledged to spice up funding in “sovereign” AI. He additionally known as for constitutional reforms, together with a two-term presidency and limits on martial legislation powers, following former President Yoon Suk Yeol’s impeachment over his December martial legislation bid. Kim centered on job creation and deregulation, proposing a devoted innovation company and elevated R&D spending. The controversy comes amid financial challenges and tensions over U.S. tariffs. Lee leads the race with 51% assist, in comparison with Kim’s 29%, based on Gallup Korea. Reuters Yonhap Information Company 

South Korea’ s former chief Yoon attends 4th listening to of rebel trial. South Korean ex-President Yoon Suk Yeol appeared at his fourth rebel trial listening to on Monday amid ongoing debate over his affect on the upcoming June 3 presidential election. Yoon, who was impeached and faraway from workplace for declaring martial legislation on December 3, now faces further costs of energy abuse associated to that decree. He not too long ago resigned from the conservative Folks Energy Social gathering amid issues that his presence was harming the marketing campaign of its candidate, Kim Moon-soo, who trails far behind frontrunner Lee Jae-myung. On the listening to, prosecutors and Yoon’s protection workforce introduced arguments on the brand new costs, and two army officers had been known as to testify. Yoon might face life imprisonment or the loss of life penalty if convicted of rebel. Yonhap Information Company

AFRICA

Suicide bomber kills 13 at Somali military recruitment drive. A suicide bomber attacked the Damanyo army camp in Mogadishu, Somalia, on Sunday, killing not less than 13 folks and injuring as much as 30. The assault occurred as teenage recruits had been lining as much as register. Witnesses described a chaotic scene, with our bodies scattered after the devastating blast, and a thick protecting of smoke. A soldier stated the bomber had disguised himself as a recruit. Among the many lifeless had been 5 civilians. The al-Qaida-linked militia al-Shabab, which has lengthy carried out related assaults within the space, claimed duty with an announcement on Sunday. An identical bombing at a army academy in 2023, which killed 25 troopers, was additionally claimed by al-Shabab. Reuters Related Press Al Jazeera 

Militant assault on 2 villages in northeast Nigeria kills not less than 57, witnesses say. At the very least 57 folks had been killed and over 70 remained lacking after suspected Boko Haram militants attacked two villages in Borno State, Nigeria, on Thursday. Survivors say members of the JAS faction, a Boko Haram offshoot, accused villagers of aiding rival group ISWAP, then marched over 100 folks into the bush, the place many had been later discovered lifeless, largely with their throats slit. The army didn’t help in physique restoration attributable to safety dangers. This mass killing coincided with a surge in violence throughout Borno, together with an ISWAP assault on a Nigerian Military base in Marte final week, that left a number of troopers lifeless and led to additional displacement. Moreover, a roadside bomb assault on Saturday killed 4 folks and injured over ten. Since 2009, Boko Haram’s insurgency has killed over 35,000 folks and displaced thousands and thousands throughout West Africa. Regardless of authorities claims of progress, the militants proceed to threaten civilians and broaden their attain. Related Press 

At the very least 20,000 flee insurgency-hit city in Nigeria, governor says. Renewed assaults by Islamist militants have pushed not less than 20,000 folks from the city of Marte in northeastern Nigeria’s Borno state, Governor Babagana Zulum confirmed on Sunday. The displacement comes simply 4 years after residents had been resettled below a state program to shut camps for displaced folks. Militants from Boko Haram and ISWAP have intensified assaults within the area, not too long ago overrunning a military base in Marte and killing troopers. Zulum additionally visited close by cities affected by related violence, together with Rann and Kalawa Balge, the place 23 farmers had been killed not too long ago. The insurgency has displaced over two million folks and killed hundreds over the previous 16 years. Militants are reportedly evolving their techniques, together with drone use, elevating issues about renewed rebel power. Zulum warned that displacement camps just like the one in Dikwa threat exposing youth to militant recruitment. Reuters 

Congo’s coltan miners dig for world’s tech — and battle no matter who’s in cost. In Congo’s conflict-torn Masisi territory, the artisanal Rubaya mine produces coltan, a key mineral used globally in electronics and protection applied sciences. Regardless of its worldwide significance, the mine is managed by the M23 insurgent group, which has intensified violence within the area. Congolese President Tshisekedi has proposed granting U.S. entry to vital minerals in change for assist restoring safety, although particulars stay obscure. Rubaya’s miners, in the meantime, earn meager wages regardless of Congo producing 40% of the world’s coltan. M23 income by taxing coltan commerce, which is commonly smuggled to Rwanda, making the mineral’s provide chain troublesome to hint. Whereas American firms are exhibiting renewed curiosity in Congolese minerals, challenges persist attributable to safety dangers, poor infrastructure, and political instability. Locals hope any deal will lastly enhance miners’ lives, reasonably than persevering with a system the place assets are valued greater than the folks extracting them. Related Press

CYBER, TECH & MARKETS

World provide chains threatened by an absence of Chinese language uncommon earths. China’s tightened export controls on uncommon earth components and everlasting magnets—essential for applied sciences like electrical autos, wind generators, and fighter jets—are inflicting mounting concern throughout world provide chains. Since April, exporters should receive licenses from the Ministry of Commerce, however approvals have been sluggish and restricted, significantly to Europe. U.S. producers like Tesla, Ford, and Lockheed Martin have raised issues, whereas some firms like Volkswagen have obtained partial approvals. The Monetary Instances stories that licensing delays are straining manufacturing, with business executives warning of bureaucratic bottlenecks and unclear end-use certification processes, particularly for purposes that might be linked to army use. These controls comply with U.S. tariff hikes imposed by President Trump and spotlight China’s strategic leverage in minerals. Consultants count on extra approvals throughout the present 90-day U.S.-China tariff ceasefire however warning that Beijing might hold the method opaque to keep up geopolitical leverage, additional motivating Western nations to diversify their uncommon earth provide sources. Monetary Instances 

China launches satellites to start out constructing the world’s first supercomputer in orbit. Final week China launched the primary 12 satellites of its bold area computing community, the Three-Physique Computing Constellation, aiming to rival the world’s strongest supercomputers. Deployed from the Jiuquan Satellite tv for pc Launch Centre aboard a Lengthy March 2D rocket, every satellite tv for pc options clever computing programs and high-speed laser communication hyperlinks, permitting in-orbit knowledge processing with minimal reliance on Earth-based infrastructure. As soon as accomplished, the constellation is anticipated to succeed in a complete computing energy of 1,000 peta operations per second (POPS), surpassing present ground-based programs just like the U.S.’s El Capitan. The venture addresses limitations in Earth-based knowledge processing, similar to vitality calls for and cooling necessities, by leveraging solar energy and the chilly of area. With every satellite tv for pc able to 744 trillion operations per second and geared up with AI fashions containing 8 billion parameters, the community can deal with massive knowledge volumes in actual time. This marks a big step within the world shift towards orbital knowledge facilities. South China Morning Put up

Chinese language agency launches ‘unhackable’ quantum cryptography system. China Telecom Quantum Group has launched what it claims is the world’s first industrial cryptography system proof against quantum pc assaults. The system combines Quantum Key Distribution and Put up-Quantum Cryptography to create a safe, end-to-end encryption framework. It has enabled the primary cross-regional quantum-encrypted name between Beijing and Hefei, spanning over 1,000km. Efficiently examined in real-world circumstances, the system is now prepared for large-scale industrial use. China Telecom has constructed quantum networks in 16 main cities, forming a nationwide spine for quantum-secure communication. The Hefei community is the world’s largest, serving over a whole lot of presidency and enterprise purchasers. The corporate additionally launched two platforms—Quantum Secret for safe messaging and Quantum Cloud Seal for official approvals and audits—each extensively adopted throughout industries. South China Morning Put up 

China’s next-gen surveillance instruments get AI enhance to focus on Telegram and VPN customers. On the twelfth China Worldwide Exhibition on Police Gear, China unveiled a spread of AI-powered surveillance and policing instruments, signaling a shift towards high-tech legislation enforcement. Key applied sciences included programs able to monitoring Telegram customers—significantly these registered with Chinese language telephone numbers—and detecting VPN utilization, each important for accessing banned platforms. Developed by establishments just like the Third Analysis Institute of the Ministry of Public Safety, these instruments can accumulate large quantities of knowledge, similar to 30 billion messages from 70 million Telegram accounts. AI instruments had been additionally showcased for duties like suspect profiling, fugitive monitoring, cell phone forensics, and clever interrogation. Some programs analyze on-line conduct—like buying historical past and search knowledge—to flag people as potential threats, in response to current lone-wolf assaults. Confidentiality and cybersecurity had been central themes on the expo, with officers limiting entry to sure merchandise and supplies. Corporations emphasised the usage of home open-source AI fashions like DeepSeek to boost legislation enforcement capabilities. South China Morning Put up

GOP lawmaker says pause in offensive cyber operations in opposition to Russia lasted in the future.  A quick halt in U.S. offensive cyber operations in opposition to Russia lasted simply in the future in February, based on Rep. Don Bacon, chair of the Home Armed Providers cyber subcommittee. The pause reportedly occurred throughout the Trump administration’s efforts to barter an finish to Russia’s struggle on Ukraine. That is the primary public affirmation of the reported directive, which was initially denied by the Protection Division’s speedy response workforce. Rep. Eugene Vindman condemned the denial as an “outright lie,” or “not less than deceptive,” and vowed to query Protection Secretary Pete Hegseth when he seems earlier than Congress. The Pentagon has not commented on the incident, and cyber coverage official Laurie Buckhout declined to debate operational particulars in an open listening to. The controversy follows bipartisan criticism over the firing of Gen. Timothy Haugh, former head of Cyber Command and the NSA, whom Bacon praised as probably the most cyber-experienced officer in American historical past. Lawmakers argue his elimination weakened U.S. cybersecurity at a time of rising digital threats. The File CBS Information 

Feds cost 12 extra suspects in RICO case over crypto crime spree. Twelve people have been charged in a significant cryptocurrency theft and cash laundering case involving a whole lot of thousands and thousands of {dollars}. The fees embrace RICO conspiracy, wire fraud, and obstruction of justice. The group, which shaped via on-line gaming platforms, allegedly used social engineering techniques beginning in late 2023 to focus on rich crypto holders. They impersonated assist brokers, tricked victims into revealing safety credentials, and used instruments like AnyDesk to achieve management of crypto wallets. Notably, suspects Malone Lam and Jeandiel Serrano had been charged for a $245 million theft from a Washington, D.C. sufferer. The group used stolen databases to establish targets and even broke into properties to entry crypto {hardware}. Proceeds had been spent lavishly on non-public jets, unique vehicles, mansions, and nightclubs. 4 suspects are charged particularly with laundering funds. Lam, tipped off about an impending arrest, tried to destroy proof by tossing his telephone into Biscayne Bay earlier than being taken into custody. The File

Japan establishes Lively Cyberdefense Regulation allowing offensive cyber operations. Japan has enacted a brand new legislation authorizing preemptive offensive cyber operations to counter rising threats from state-sponsored and financially motivated hackers. The Lively Cyber Protection Regulation permits legislation enforcement to infiltrate and neutralize hostile servers earlier than assaults happen, even when these actions fall beneath the edge of armed battle. The Self-Protection Forces will deal with extra superior cyber incidents. This transfer marks a big departure from Japan’s historically pacifist stance and aligns its cyber protection posture with that of main Western powers. Authorities might analyze overseas web visitors coming into or transiting Japan, although home knowledge stays protected, and an oversight panel will monitor all operations. The legislation comes amid a surge in cyberattacks, together with breaches by suspected Chinese language hackers into Japan’s cybersecurity company and protection networks, and a current $2 billion hacking incident focusing on on-line inventory buying and selling. Officers argue the legislation will enhance Japan’s capacity to reply swiftly and successfully. The File Japan Instances

Nvidia plans bigger Taiwan workplace and native supercomputer collaboration, CEO Huang says.  Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang introduced plans to broaden the corporate’s presence in Taiwan by leasing a brand new property in northern Taipei for a bigger workplace dubbed “Nvidia Constellation,” citing rising native partnerships and the necessity for extra space for its engineering employees. Talking at Computex, Huang additionally revealed that Nvidia is collaborating with Taiwanese corporations like Foxconn to develop a brand new supercomputer, calling it one of many firm’s largest undertakings so far. Whereas Nvidia didn’t disclose the fee, dimension, or staffing particulars of the brand new workplace, Huang emphasised the significance of Taiwan’s tech ecosystem in driving the corporate’s AI ambitions.  South China Morning Put up 

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Brad Christian, Government Editor 

Ethan Masucol, Assistant Editor

Brian Bonner, Senior Contributor

Elaine Shannon, Senior Contributor

Ken Hughes, Tech & Cyber Contributor

Katharine Campbell, Author

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