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May Nigeria’s cautious ethnic balancing act be below menace?


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Mansur Abubakar

BBC Information, Abuja

AFP via Getty Images Head and shoulders shot of Nigerin president Bola Tinubu.AFP by way of Getty Pictures

In Nigerian politics, there has lengthy been an off-the-cuff understanding: presidential appointments ought to fastidiously steadiness the nation’s many ethnic and non secular variations. As we speak, there are rising issues that that is being ignored.

Whereas the structure requires regional illustration in cupboard positions, the broader distribution of different distinguished roles has historically adopted a conference geared toward fostering nationwide cohesion.

Nigeria’s fractious divisions have up to now torn the nation – Africa’s most populous – aside.

Considerations about equity in presidential appointments aren’t new, however a refrain of criticism is rising over President Bola Tinubu’s picks, with some accusing the pinnacle of state – who has been in energy for 2 years – of favouring individuals from his personal Yoruba ethnic group.

The presidency vehemently denies the accusation.

There have lengthy been fears that members of 1 ethnic group would come to dominate key positions – and which means that presidential appointments are intently scrutinised every time they’re introduced.

There are over 250 ethnic teams within the nation with Hausa-Fulanis, Igbo and Yoruba – hailing from the north, south-east and south-west respectively – being the three largest.

Critics say that Tinubu, a southern Muslim, confirmed indicators of ignoring precedent from the onset when he picked one other Muslim (though from the north) to be his operating mate for the final election.

For the reason that return of democracy in 1999, the most important events had at all times put ahead a combined Muslim-Christian ticket, because the nation is roughly evenly divided between followers of the 2 religions.

Tinubu’s appointments since changing into president in Might 2023 are dealing with rising cricisim.

AFP via Getty Images Members of the royal guard parade during the Durbar horse procession in Dutse on March 31, 2025AFP by way of Getty Pictures

The wealthy traditions of Nigeria’s many ethnic teams are sometimes celebrated, however tensions between these teams have threatened the unity of the nation

Though there are dozens of roles for a head of state to fill, there are eight jobs that “are essentially the most essential for each administration”, based on political analyst and barrister Lawal Lawal.

These are the heads of the:

  • central financial institution
  • state-owned oil firm, NNPC
  • police
  • military
  • customs service
  • intelligence company
  • anti-corruption company and
  • income service.

There isn’t any constitutional rating of positions, however collectively these roles management the important thing monetary and safety equipment of the nation.

Each president inherits his predecessor’s appointees, however has the prerogative to interchange them.

As of April, all eight positions below Tinubu at the moment are crammed by Yorubas.

The current appointment of former Shell boss Bayo Ojulari to go the state-owned oil firm, the Nigerian Nationwide Petroleum Firm (NNPC), rather than a northerner turbocharged the talk concerning the obvious monopoly of 1 group in high positions.

Taking a look at who crammed the identical posts below Tinubu’s two quick predecessors, there was no such dominance of 1 ethnic group on the identical stage of their presidencies.

Goodluck Jonathan – who served from 2010 to 2015 – had a comparatively balanced staff of two ethnic Fulanis, two Hausas, one Atyap, one Igbo, one Yoruba and one Calabar.

When it got here to Muhammadu Buhari – in energy from 2015 to 2023 – the state of affairs was much less clear.

Within the high eight he had three Hausas, two Kanuris, one Igbo, one Yoruba and one Nupe.

However within the minds of many Nigerians, Hausas, Kanuris and Nupes are all seen as northerners – and subsequently there was a notion that Buhari, who’s from the north, confirmed favouritism.

Some argue that Tinubu’s appointments have merely continued the pattern, however the 100%-Yoruba make-up of the eight key positions is unprecedented.

“For a democratically elected president, I can’t keep in mind at any level in Nigerian historical past the place you’ve this excessive focus of a specific ethnic group holding a lot of the delicate positions,” historical past professor Tijjani Naniya instructed the BBC.

This isn’t nearly what has occurred up to now nevertheless it might have an effect on the unity and even the way forward for the nation, the professor mentioned.

“For me, the concern is what if the subsequent president continues on this path and picks a lot of the delicate positions from his ethnic group, it diminishes the sensation of belonging among the many relaxation and likewise reduces perception in democracy,” he mentioned.

Within the final two years, many northerners, largely Hausa-Fluanis, have regarded on the obvious path of journey with alarm.

The present males (there are not any girls) in control of the NNPC, the police, customs and the Financial and Monetary Crimes Fee (EFCC) all changed northerners.

The removing of Abdulrasheed Bawa, a Hausa, as boss of the EFCC in 2023 simply two years after he was appointed was particularly controversial.

He was arrested, accused of abuse of workplace and detained for over 100 days earlier than the costs have been dropped.

He was changed by Ola Olukoyode, an ethnic Yoruba.

Some from the north felt Mr Bawa was unfairly handled and pushed apart to make means for Mr Olukoyode.

“The president must know that the Yoruba persons are simply part of the nation, and all appointments ought to be unfold throughout all ethnic teams and areas,” social affairs analyst Isah Habibu instructed the BBC.

With out addressing particular instances, a Tinubu spokesperson has mentioned the president is being honest and balanced, by taking the broader view of all appointments.

AFP via Getty Images Eyo masqueraders walk down the street towards the Tafawa Balewa Square in Lagos on May 20, 2017AFP by way of Getty Pictures

Some Nigerians are involved that President Tinubu’s Yoruba ethnic group is dominating the federal government

Media aide Sunday Dare did attempt to enter element, saying general, 71 northerners and 63 southerners had been appointed by Tinubu. However his 9 April publish on X was later deleted, after individuals identified errors in his declare.

He promised an up to date checklist, however greater than six month slater, it has but to look.

Tinubu faces critics even from inside his personal occasion.

Senator Ali Ndume is from the north and – like Tinubu – belongs to the All Progressives Congress. In a single tv interview he mentioned he had gone on air to speak concerning the president’s appointment “wrongdoings”.

Ndume mentioned he was shocked, describing them as “non-inclusive and never reflecting the president’s ‘Renewed Hope’ agenda, which promised to hold each part of the nation alongside”.

One other presidential aide, Daniel Bwala, disputed the concept that some positions have been extra important than others.

“All I do know is that the constitutional provisions [regarding appointments] have been taken care of by the president – there’s nowhere within the structure [where it is] talked about high 5, high 10 and the remainder,” he instructed the BBC.

“The way in which we see it’s that any place or appointment that one is privileged to serve in may be very essential and vital.

“The nationwide safety adviser is from the north-east, the chief of defence employees is from the north-west and the secretary to the federal authorities is from north-central.”

The Workplace of the Secretary to the Authorities of the Federation, which coordinates coverage on behalf of the presidency, launched an announcement on 12 April saying Tinubu was being honest.

“This administration is devoted to making sure that every one areas and demographics of the nation are adequately represented in its establishments and companies,” it mentioned.

Political analyst Mr Lawal mentioned the president ought to appoint the perfect particular person for the job, regardless of their ethnic origin – and agues that that is what Tinubu is doing.

“It is excessive time Nigeria appears past ethnicity,” he mentioned.

There may very well be a time when Nigerians not obsess over the ethnic origins of these within the higher echelons of presidency, however historian Prof Naniya says that is nonetheless a way off.

He believes it may well solely occur when the nation will get at the least 4 presidents in succession who give each part a way of belonging when it comes to initiatives and appointments.

“I believe it may be completed however wants the proper leaders.”

Extra BBC tales from Nigeria:

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